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13

Nolly De Paulhac

3yo Filly · 8-8

Toulouse · Prix Du Bas Armagnac Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dax 18/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 11318/05C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 1183/06C5C5 @ Dax 31/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12031/07C5projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Dax?6th6th0
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd0
2026-05-18Dax?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/053/0631/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%

Delivery trend -14.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20264th5/287%73%-0.14
03/06/20262nd10/147%86%+0.38
31/07/20266th5/493%50%-0.43