6
Norwish Pontadour
3yo Filly · 9-3
Toulouse · Prix Du Bas Armagnac Stakes · 1m 2f 96y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Dax | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +43.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |