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2

Forbes Du Pecos

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Toulouse · Prix Thalian Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mont De Marsan 12/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12812/03C5C5 @ Dax 01/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1321/05C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 17/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f151y GS 12817/08C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Mont De Marsan?6th6th0
2026-05-01Dax?4th4th0
2026-03-12Mont De Marsan?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/031/0517/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength14%

Delivery trend -7.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/03/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
01/05/20264th3/184%67%-0.18
17/08/20266th14/126%17%-0.10