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Frenesie Du Pecos

3yo Filly · 9-7

Toulouse · Prix Thalian Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dax 01/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1201/05C5C5 @ Dax 18/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12718/05C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 1293/06C5C5 @ Tarbes 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1273/07C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 17/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f151y GS 12717/08C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Mont De Marsan?2nd2nd0
2026-07-03Tarbes?4th4th0
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd0
2026-05-18Dax?1st1st0
2026-05-01Dax?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0518/053/063/0717/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend -11.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20263rd12/137%78%+0.41
18/05/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
03/06/20262nd3/184%88%+0.03
03/07/20264th9/276%50%-0.26
17/08/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02