4

Hibou Pompadour

3yo Colt · 9-2

Toulouse · Prix Thalian Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dax 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12831/07C5C5 @ Toulouse 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 1282/09C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Toulouse?2nd2nd0
2026-07-31Dax?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +67.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20265th33/10%20%+0.20
02/09/20262nd20/10%88%+0.88