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5

Skalibur

3yo Colt · 9-2

Toulouse · Prix Thalian Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dax 01/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1171/05C5C5 @ Dax 18/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12118/05C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 1213/06C5C5 @ Tarbes 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1213/07C5C5 @ Dax 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12331/07C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f151y GS 12117/08C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Mont De Marsan?4th4th0
2026-07-31Dax?1st1st0
2026-07-03Tarbes?2nd2nd0
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch?6th6th0
2026-05-18Dax?4th4th0
2026-05-01Dax?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0518/053/063/0731/0717/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength42%

Delivery trend -8.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
18/05/20264th50/10%77%+0.77
03/06/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
03/07/20262nd14/126%83%+0.57
31/07/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
17/08/20264th5/174%50%-0.24