19:30 · Southwell

Download The At The Races App Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

1m 3f 23yStandardClass 64YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Top Pick1
OR 46
4/1
The Pug silks

Olly Murphy Racing Club

6yo Gelding · 10-5

Churchill - Alumni Award (Oasis Dream)

Miss Jemima Stewart0/4−3lbO Murphy70%
654552
6.0
Blinkers

Not the most reliable but has run creditably the last twice, latest when second of 7 in handicap over similar trip at Bath 5 days ago. Blinkers back on. Claims if in same form again.

Class Advantage

21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/0728/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 3f 23y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%21/07Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%5/08Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 56%1/09Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%12/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.5%Ahead 4/4
2
2
OR 60
5/1
Golspie silks

Morris And Allan

6yo Gelding · 11-5

Ribchester - Surrey Storm (Montjeu)

Mr Lucas Murphy60%P Morris60%
443633
6.0
Cheek pieces

Not tasted success for some time but has dropped to a handy mark and made the frame again when creditable third of 7 in handicap (6/1) over C&D last month. Likely to be in the mix again.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/0613/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 1m 3f 23y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 77%10/06Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 82%27/06Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 58%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%6/08Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.6%Ahead 1/4
3
Market Fav3
OR 58
5/2
Glitter Code silks

Mrs J Biker

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Kodiac - Glitterdust (Intello)

Miss Nell Biker60%1/5W J Knight80%
920761
6.0
Cheek pieces

Off the mark under an enterprising ride from this pilot in 10-runner handicap (9/1) over similar trip at Ripon 17 days ago. Since rejoined former yard and remains feasibly treated.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/11 · mark par26/1123/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par29/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m 3f 23y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 27%26/11Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 86%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 18%29/05Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%5/08Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.2%Ahead 2/4
5
4
OR 54
20/1
Spec Of Light silks

Mr Tony Forbes

4yo Gelding · 10-13

Muhaarar - Beaming (Shamardal)

Mr Cameron HillhouseA Forbes
275884
4.0

Runner-up over C&D in February but has failed to repeat that form since and is hard to fancy despite a tumbling handicap mark.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par28/022/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par28/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par2/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 1m 3f 23y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 91%28/02Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%28/04Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 13%2/07Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%14/07
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.0%Ahead 4/4
8
8
OR 50
5/1
Wrist Art silks

Mr J Owen

9yo Gelding · 10-9

Sir Prancealot - Vasoni (Redback)

Paul Booth−3lbJames Owen60%
524318
5.0
1st Hood +1Tongue strap

Gained a first success since 2023 in 6-runner handicap at Brighton (1½m) last month. Undone by slow start at Lingfield since and can't be ruled out here. Hood back on.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/073/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m 3f 23y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%4/07Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 70%11/08Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%23/08Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%1/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.1%Ahead 2/4
1
6
OR 60
7/1
Palazzo Persico silks

Mrs T Pearman

5yo Gelding · 11-5

Profitable - Little Italy (Proud Citizen)

Mr William Pearman60%1/4A W Carroll
015153
6.0

Has an in-and-out profile for current yard, scoring twice before lesser runs more recently. Likely unsuited by shorter trip when third at Salisbury latest but others are more convincing.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par10/0415/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par21/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par30/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par21/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 3f 23y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%10/04Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 20%21/06Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 20%30/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%21/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.5%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 52
7/1
Power Of Prayer silks

Miss Tess Hoppeler

4yo Filly · 10-11

Protectionist - Power Surge (Le Havre)

Miss Tess Hoppeler−3lbGeorge Baker
315537
4.0Going 7.0

Dundalk scorer in November who shaped well, back from 5 months off, when third of 13 at Brighton (1¼m) in June. Not in same form later that month but has been freshened up since and returns on a workable mark.

Class Advantage

5/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/11 · mark par5/1121/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/11 · mark par5/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/12 · mark par16/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/01 · mark par9/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par21/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 1m 3f 23y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%5/11Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 69%5/12Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 56%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%9/06Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%21/06
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.9%Ahead 1/4
4
5
OR 56
20/1
Cougar silks

Mr S W Campion

7yo Gelding · 11-1

Deep Impact - Promise To Be True (Galileo)

Miss Sophia Watson0/2−3lbN Kent
107557
3.0Class ↓6

Responded well to the fitting of blinkers when winning back-to-back at Musselburgh and Hamilton this time last year but has looked a shadow of that horse this campaign, again well held at Ripon last month. Switch to new yard needs to revive his fortunes.

Class Advantage

21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/0918/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par29/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par21/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par15/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 3f 23y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%21/09Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%29/04Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 20%15/07Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 33%31/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.4%Ahead 2/4
7
9
OR 50
50/1
Cavalry Call silks

The Pat Morris Racing Club

5yo Gelding · 10-9

Invincible Army - Michael's Song (Refuse To Bend)

Miss Grace Barr−3lbP Morris60%
787000
2.0
Cheek pieces

Fairly useful at best, but didn't offer much promise for R. Mike Smith (including over hurdles) and has failed to beat a rival in 4 starts for current yard.

Class Advantage

20/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/01 · mark par20/012/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 3f 23y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 30%20/01Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%16/05Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%6/08Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%3/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.3%Ahead 0/4