8
Bakarelo
5yo Gelding · 10-2
Auteuil · Prix Duc D'albuquerque - Challenge De L'obstacle Equinaxy Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 191y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Dieppe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Fontainebleau | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 21% | +0.06 |
| 11/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 21/02/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |