19:00 · Southwell

Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap

7f 15yStandardClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Value2
OR 72
13/2
Forest Caper silks

The Horse Watchers 2

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Lope De Vega - Forest Crown (Royal Applause)

Daniel Muscutt70%D O'Meara60%
442051
6.0Going 8.0
Hood

Free-going sort who finally opened his account in 12-runner handicap at Thirsk (7f, good, 12/1) 12 days ago, suited by a well-run race. Overall record suggests he's one to take on from a 4 lb higher mark, though.

Class Advantage

23/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/01 · mark par23/015/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par14/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par24/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/02 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 7f 15y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%23/01Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%14/02Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 10%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%1/09Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%14/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 2/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 72
7/1
Packetofbiscuits silks

A Pot To Pete In Syndicate

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Showcasing - Queen Sarra (Shamardal)

Callum Hutchinson60%J Mackie60%
507862
6.0
Blinkers

Enjoyed a fine spell on all-weather earlier in the year, recording back-to-back C&D wins prior to finding only one too good in hat-trick bid. Went off the boil thereafter but returned to something like his best when second of 14 in 1m handicap at Yarmouth recently. Player from 2 lb higher mark.

Class Advantage

29/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par29/0318/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par30/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par18/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 73%29/03Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%30/04Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%5/09Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 92%17/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.9%Ahead 3/4
6
Market Fav3
OR 72
5/1
Justice Court silks

Mr Khalifa Dasmal

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Sands Of Mali - Tatsia (Showcasing)

William Carver60%1/2J A Osborne60%
3281
6.0Going 7.0
Tongue strap

Improved to make a winning handicap debut at Wolverhampton (7f) 11 days ago, edging ahead final strides. Should at least remain competitive following token rise in the weights.

Class Advantage

3/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/121/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/0817/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/0815/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 75%Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%3/12Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%1/08Pos 8 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 8 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 22%17/08Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.3%Ahead 1/4
13
6
OR 68
6/1
Bundok silks

Martin Hughes & Michael Kerr-Dineen

3yo Filly · 9-5

Pinatubo - Bahamadam (Bahamian Bounty)

Benoit D L Sayette60%H Morrison
053353
5.0

Ran her best race taking on her elders for the first time when third of 14 in handicap at Kempton (7f, 18/1) 17 days ago. Switched to tapeta now and ought to remain competitive.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/044/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%17/04Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 78%25/05Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%2/09Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 85%9/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.2%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 70
12/1
Be Frank silks

Jr Roberts Slurry Sealing Ltd

6yo Gelding · 9-10

Cable Bay - Bonnie Arlene (Excelebration)

Jack Callan60%Ian Williams
545645
4.0

Scored on 2025 return at Newmarket and turned in several creditable efforts after. Stepped forward from his reappearance following another 13 weeks off when fourth of 19 at York (1m) earlier in the month but wasn't in the same form at Chester just 6 days later.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par10/086/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par13/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par12/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%10/08Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%13/09Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 83%6/09Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%12/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.9%Ahead 2/4
7
5
OR 69
13/2
Caragio silks

Mr Adam Kirby

6yo Gelding · 9-9

Caravaggio - Freddie's Girl (More Than Ready)

Charles Bishop1/2Adam Kirby
621563
5.0Class ↓4

Confirmed stable debut promise when winning 6-runner handicap at Yarmouth (6f) in April. Below that level in 2 outings at the start of the summer but went like the best horse at the weights in a classified race at Doncaster (1m) 15 days ago and of interest back at 7f on return to handicap company.

Class Advantage

15/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/12 · mark par15/1226/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par21/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par1/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par14/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 17%15/12Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%21/04Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 64%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%14/06Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%11/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.8%Ahead 2/4
11
7
OR 69
12/1
You Will See silks

Lady Jouse Partnership

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Ulysses - Espouse (Elusive Pimpernel)

Billy Garritty60%I Jardine
256
4.0

Ulysses gelding who produced a promising first effort when second of 10 in a C&D novice in April but has run below that level on both starts since and has been handed a stiff-looking mark.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/0421/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/055/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 89%5/04Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%21/05Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%5/06
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.0%Ahead 2/3
5
10
OR 69
8/1
Mystical Storm silks

Mr T A Scothern

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Harry Angel - Emeralds Spirit (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Tom Kiely-Marshall−3lbMiss J A Camacho
489063
4.0

Off the mark following a breathing operation at Doncaster (6f) last summer. More miss than hit since but returned from 7 weeks away with an immediate upturn on the back of a second breathing operation when third at aforementioned track (7f) in June. Makes all-weather debut after another break.

Class Advantage

26/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/0715/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par1/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par25/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par29/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par14/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par14/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 15y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%26/07Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 13%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%1/09Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%29/04Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 82%14/06
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.1%Ahead 1/4
14
8
OR 67
14/1
Kiani King silks

P C J Dalby & R D Schuster

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Persian King - Ermine Ruby (Cape Cross)

Ross CoakleyH Morrison60%
496310
5.0
Tongue strap

Found a bit more improvement to get off the mark here (1m) in August. However, failed to get away with his keenness when down the field back on turf at Windsor 12 days ago.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/044/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 63%17/04Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 55%21/05Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%31/08Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 18%14/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 2/4
12
9
OR 66
14/1
Newsreader silks

News Team

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Prince Of Lir - Kaplinsky (Fath)

William Carson60%A W Carroll
660645
3.0

On a long losing run and went backwards from a promising stable debut when fifth of 7 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 22 days ago. Bounce back required.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par9/1021/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par4/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%9/10Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%9/06Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%4/08Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 33%4/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -34.8%Ahead 0/4
9
11
OR 70
16/1
Decem Starr silks

Decem Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Showcasing - Purple Sage (Danehill Dancer)

Dylan Hogan60%Miss J A Camacho
254408
3.0

Managed some minor progress switched to handicap company in first-time cheekpieces when fourth of 9 at Doncaster (1m) in May. Below form on both subsequent starts, though, including on all-weather debut here last time. First run for yard after leaving Jack Jones.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0927/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 90%9/09Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 70%8/04Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 31%23/05Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 46%5/07
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.6%Ahead 2/4
8
12
OR 69
50/1
Beauzon silks

Beaunus Hunters

7yo Gelding · 9-9

Brazen Beau - Pepper Lane (Exceed And Excel)

William CoxIan Williams
000600
2.0

Completed a remarkable 7-timer in typical fashion from the front at Wolverhampton in March. However, went into his shell on turf this summer and has fared no better back on all-weather the last twice.

Class Advantage

11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/0725/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par22/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 7f 15y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 9%14/08Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%3/09Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%18/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.4%Ahead 2/4