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17:00 · Market Rasen

Agriculture Raceday Returns On 12th November Handicap Hurdle

2m 7f 16yGoodClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 86
11/4
Traveling Soldier silks

Premier Plastering (UK) Limited

Traveling Soldier

8yo Gelding · 11-2

Mahler - Asian Alliance (Soviet Star)

S Bowen70%1/11O Murphy70%
3PP323
7.0Going 10.0
Visor

Course chase winner over 17f last summer. Creditable third of 9 back hurdling at Worcester (2½m, good to soft) 16 days ago. Respected.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/075/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par26/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par2/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par22/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 2m 7f 16y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 78%26/09Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%22/07Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%10/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.9%Ahead 1/4
4
4
OR 89
6/1
Electric Eddy silks

Mrs Rowland Crellin

Electric Eddy

8yo Gelding · 11-5

Mount Nelson - Airlie Beach (Shantou)

Sam Twiston-Davies70%0/8N & W Twiston-Davies
2P3664
4.0

Lightly raced in recent times. Made a respectable return to hurdles when 12 lengths fourth at Newton Abbot (18.5f, good to firm) 35 days ago but needs to build on that now stepping up significantly in trip.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par20/0925/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/11 · mark par22/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 7f 16y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 75%20/09Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%22/05Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 44%7/07Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%22/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.5%Ahead 3/4
3
2
OR 90
3/1
Matoury silks

Mrs J M Plummer

Matoury

7yo Gelding · 11-6

Kingman - Sinnamary (Galileo)

William Maggs60%3/9M E Sowersby60%
7P3117
7.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

All 3 wins here, including 2 over this trip this summer. Well beaten at Cartmel since but could fare a lot better back at Market Rasen.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/10 · mark par31/1026/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/11 · mark par8/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 2m 7f 16y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 78%31/10Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%8/05Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%5/07Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 25%20/07
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.3%Ahead 2/4
1
3
OR 98
13/2
The Clonmel Kid silks

Mr Peter Rawcliffe

The Clonmel Kid

7yo Gelding · 12-0

Youmzain - Downsouth (Supreme Leader)

Danny McMenamin70%P A Kirby
133674
4.0Going 8.0

Handicap chase winner off 2 lb higher in the spring. Some creditable efforts in defeat since but let down by his jumping here latest and now reverts to hurdles off what should be a workable mark.

Class Advantage

11/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par11/046/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par7/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 2m 7f 16y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%11/04Pos 3 · SP 11/5 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 11/5 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%19/05Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 14%7/07Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%15/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.1%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 74
10/1
Ramaah silks

Bill Ransom & Steve Day

Ramaah

5yo Gelding · 10-4

Waldgeist - Date With Destiny (George Washington)

James Best0/11S-J Davies60%
385336
5.0
Visor

Fair all-weather Flat winner. Maiden over hurdles but placed twice over C&D this summer. Off 9 weeks, bit better than bare result when sixth of 11 at Worcester (23f) 16 days ago, going with enthusiasm. Considered.

Class Advantage

25/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par25/036/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par10/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 2m 7f 16y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%25/03Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 43%10/05Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 82%5/07Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%10/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +61.5%Ahead 4/4
6
5
OR 83
12/1
You Did silks

Sharing The Dream Syndicate

You Did

6yo Gelding · 10-13

Mount Nelson - Dinaria Des Obeaux (Saddler Maker)

Craig Nichol60%2/5B Ellison60%
6P04P6
4.0
Cheek pieces

Dual winner over hurdles towards the end of 2025 but has disappointed since, including over fences.

Class Advantage

13/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/11 · mark par13/118/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/12 · mark par22/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par18/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 7f 16y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%13/11Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%22/01Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%18/07Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%8/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.1%Ahead 2/4
2
8
OR 93
8/1
Mistral Milly silks

Mr John J Murray

Mistral Milly

7yo Mare · 11-9

Mount Nelson - Hurricane Milly (Milan)

Kielan Woods60%0/1D J Jeffreys
4946P5
4.0Class ↓3

Maiden seemingly isn't the most robust (has bled). Standout effort for current yard when fourth at Warwick (2m) in March. Never a threat when fifth of 9 in 2m Worcester maiden but a return to handicap company provides her with a more realistic chance. Significantly up in trip.

Class Advantage

14/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par14/0417/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/10 · mark par5/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par26/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par13/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par4/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 7f 16y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%14/04Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 33%5/03Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 38%13/05Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%4/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.6%Ahead 2/4
7
9
OR 74
12/1
Annie Don silks

Mrs P And Miss S Bailey

Annie Don

7yo Mare · 10-4

Yeats - O What A Girl (Anshan)

B S Hughes60%Henry Oliver60%
63797U
3.0
Tongue strap

Maiden hurdler/chaser who offered little in handicap chases last season. Reverts to hurdles on return and worth a second look in the betting with Brian Hughes not a regular booking for the stable.

Class Advantage

16/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/1114/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par23/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par15/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/10 · mark par11/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/11 · mark par11/11projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 2m 7f 16y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 43%16/11Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%14/04Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%15/10Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%11/11
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.5%Ahead 2/4
10
7
OR 58
33/1
Destination Unkown silks

Affinity Racing

Destination Unkown

5yo Gelding · 10-2

Magna Grecia - We'll Go Walking (Authorized)

Mr J Stevenson−7lbM C Chapman
PP739
3.0
Hood

Limited maiden on Flat. Hasn't shown anything over hurdles.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par9/066/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/01 · mark par20/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/01 · mark par20/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 7f 16y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%9/06Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 13%20/01Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%15/08Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%29/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.7%Ahead 2/4
9
10
OR 71
33/1
Illico De Montave silks

Mrs Rosemary Gasson

Illico De Montave

8yo Gelding · 10-2

Honolulu - Sigit D'acadour (Ange Gabriel)

Benjamin Poste0/12Mrs R Gasson60%
770078
2.0
Cheek pieces

Long-standing maiden who was tailed off on his return from 11 months off at Uttoxeter in July.

Class Advantage

5/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/11 · mark par5/1117/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/02 · mark par10/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/03 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 7f 16y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%5/11Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%10/03Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%31/08Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 22%26/07
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.0%Ahead 4/4