14:45 · Curragh

Izuzu Ireland Handicap

7fYielding3YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 95
7/1
Unique Journey silks

N W T Dalzell & James Morgan & Karl Kirwan & Mrs John Murphy

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Caravaggio - Surround (Iffraaj)

Ben Coen70%0/1Daniel Murphy60%
124027
6.0
Cheek pieces

Dual C&D winner last year. Winless this time around but has found only one too good on 2 occasions, including when chasing home Dunum in a valuable 7f handicap at Galway in August. Still 6 lb above last successful mark but any rain will be firmly in his favour.

Class Advantage

16/10 · C9 · finish vs mark above16/10 · mark par16/1015/03 · C10 · finish vs mark below15/03 · mark par4/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par23/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par2/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par13/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 50%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%16/10Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%4/04Pos 21 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 21 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 5%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 92%2/08Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 74%13/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.5%Ahead 3/4
6
2
OR 87
11/2
Headmaster silks

John Lynam

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Dubawi - One Master (Fastnet Rock)

Reese Holohan60%−7lbE Lynam70%
712000
5.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Improved model for current connections. Successful in useful 6f course handicap/solid second in a valuable 7f Cork event in early-summer. Not so good last 3 starts but now just 1 lb above last winning mark with a good-value 7-lb claimer booked. Fancied to go close back at 7f.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par27/0423/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par14/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par18/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par9/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par13/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 45%27/04Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 93%14/06Pos 17 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 17 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 16%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 18%9/08Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 52%13/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.5%Ahead 2/4
1
Market Fav3
OR 99
2/1
Excellent Believe silks

Shamrock Thoroughbreds

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Make Believe - Lambeth Walk (Charm Spirit)

Colin KeaneStephen Thorne80%
233007
3.0Going 10.0

Useful sort, placed several times at Group 3/listed level, and shaped well on debut for current yard when seventh of 17 behind Krasimir at Leopardstown, beaten only 2 lengths despite trouble. Colin Keane is an eye-catching booking, but others look better treated.

Class Advantage

28/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par28/0928/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par10/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par12/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 88%28/09Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%10/05Pos 27 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 27 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 4%Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 8%4/07Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%12/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.8%Ahead 1/4
10
4
OR 79
16/1
Uncle Goalie silks

Miss E C Ryan

3yo Colt · 8-7

Galileo Gold - Ardingly (Danehill Dancer)

Rory ClearyRory Devine60%
431
8.0Going 8.0

Stepped up on previous performances when winning 13-runner 1m Leopardstown maiden in August by nose from My Shayla. Got first run on that occasion and drop back to 7f not an obvious given pedigree. Makes handicap debut from 2 lb out of the weights.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/0528/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/0720/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 33%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 79%20/05Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 85%28/07Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%20/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.3%Ahead 3/3
5
5
OR 87
12/1
Dmaniac silks

Rebecca May

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Washington Dc - Mania (Danehill)

Billy Lee60%M Hassett
311520
6.0

Dual 6f winner here, the latest in March when beating Unique Journey by 3¼ lengths. Failed to justify favouritism back over 5f here next time, but bounced back to form when a neck second in a 7f event at Cork in May. Probably needed the run after 4 months off 2 weeks ago. One to consider.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par4/1021/10 · C7 · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par15/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above15/03 · mark par28/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par3/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par13/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%4/10Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%15/03Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 69%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 91%3/05Pos 18 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 18 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 26%13/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.2%Ahead 2/4
4
8
OR 88
9/1
City House silks

Dooley Thoroughbreds & J Fairhurst

5yo Gelding · 9-3

Night Of Thunder - Impala (Oasis Dream)

Adam Caffrey0/5A McGuinness60%
484072
4.0
Tongue strap

Without a win this year but some good runs in defeat for Ado McGuinness, though failed to justify support tackling a 7f minor event at Gowran last time.

Class Advantage

6/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par6/0523/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par14/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par18/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par2/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par19/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 33%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 75%6/05Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 79%14/06Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 54%2/08Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%19/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.8%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 90
7/1
Rahmi silks

Richard McNally & Leo Walsh & L Murrin

7yo Gelding · 9-5

Pivotal - Rayna (Selkirk)

Rory Mulligan60%1/5−5lbJ P Murtagh70%
806260
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Produced a smart effort when winning at Leopardstown last year but has largely struggled and been hindered by slow starts since. Very well handicapped if staging a revival but hard to make a compelling case unless the market strongly suggests one is on the cards.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par17/0514/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par8/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par7/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par29/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par12/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%17/05Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 17%8/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 69%29/08Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 31%12/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.4%Ahead 2/4
7
6
OR 86
20/1
Love Billy Boy silks

Purosangue Racing Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 9-1

Invincible Army - Katrine (Kodiac)

Gary Carroll0/1Gerard O'Leary80%
129095
3.0Going 8.0
1st Visor +2

Make big strides in 2025, winning twice and also finishing second on another 2 occasions. Ended that year on a low note, however, and little encouragement from last 2 starts. However, he's now below his last winning mark for a yard going much better. Capable of being in the mix.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0629/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par10/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par3/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par15/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/03 · mark par12/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par12/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%5/06Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 27%10/07Pos 14 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 14 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 7%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%15/03Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%12/06
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -44.3%Ahead 0/4
8
10
OR 80
25/1
Temperance silks

Thomas Hore

4yo Filly · 8-9

Churchill - Boastful (Clodovil)

Chris Hayes60%1/13Miss K McGivern60%
860778
2.0
Blinkers

Sole success came in a 6f Naas handicap last spring. Has found things tough in listed races/Group 3 this season and wasn't sparked back to form by a return to handicapping company last time. Still 5 lb above last winning mark.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/0728/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par22/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par14/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par23/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par21/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%10/07Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 29%22/07Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 14%23/08Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%21/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.8%Ahead 4/4
9
9
OR 79
11/1
Eddie G silks

Taceec Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 8-8

Kuroshio - Leitra Lady (Azamour)

Declan McDonogh60%A McGuinness60%
911853
5.0
Tongue strap

Dual 7f handicap scorer at Naas and Galway later in July. Not at the same level since, though took a step back in the right direction when 4¼ lengths third of 7 to Morehampton at this course 4 days ago.

Class Advantage

9/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par9/0722/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 50%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%9/07Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%28/07Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%8/09Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 67%22/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.5%Ahead 2/4