14:10 · Curragh

Churchill Tyres Beresford Stakes (Group 2)

1mGood to YieldingClass 12YO onlyTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 101
9/2
Shakespeare silks

Brant,Magnier,Tabor,Smith,Westerberg

2yo Colt · 9-5

Dubawi - Lady Bowthorpe (Nathaniel)

Colin KeaneA P O'Brien80%
3217
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Dubawi colt out of Group 1 winner Lady Bowthorpe. Still far from the finished article when making it third time lucky in a Curragh maiden (1m). No surprise to see him in cheekpieces having been off the bridle a long way out in Group 1 at Leopardstown (9f) last time. Likely the stable second string.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0623/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/079/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0812/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲6
Strength10%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 50%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 71%27/06Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 75%23/07Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%9/08Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 25%12/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.8%Ahead 2/4
2
3
OR 90
5/1
Drumbeat silks

Westerberg,Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,D Smith

2yo Colt · 9-5

Wootton Bassett - Cloth Of Cloud (Captain Al)

Ronan WhelanA P O'Brien60%
631
5.0Going 7.0

200,000 gns Wootton Bassett colt. Third behind useful Jesus Green at Leopardstown (1m) last month. Far from the finished article when dead-heating at Gowran (7f) subsequently. Has the potential to do better back up in trip, though doesn't look the stable's leading hope.

Class Advantage

18/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/076/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/081/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 33%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%18/07Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%6/08Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%1/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.3%Ahead 1/3
3
Market Fav4
10/11
Noble Exhibit silks

D Smith,Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,Westerberg

2yo Colt · 9-5

Frankel - Prize Exhibit (Showcasing)

Wayne Lordan1/1A P O'Brien80%
31
6.0Going 7.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Confirmed his debut promise in the manner of a smart prospect when forging clear for a 7-length success at Punchestown. Addition of first-time cheekpieces hardly a negative for one who finds generously, and he can add to Aidan O'Brien's outstanding record in this race.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/0815/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 100%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 87%22/08Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.7%Ahead 2/2
1
2
OR 98
9/2
City of Dubai silks

Bond Thoroughbred Limited

2yo Colt · 9-5

Mehmas - Angels Story (Galileo)

Billy Lee60%1/3P Twomey60%
125
5.0Going 7.0

Improved on his debut success when useful runner-up in listed race at Gowran (1m) second time up. Only ran to a similar level when beaten 5¼ lengths in the Group 2 Futurity Stakes here (form not worked out), though should fare better back over 1m here. Probably the leading danger to Noble Exhibit.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/077/08 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a7/0822/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength7%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 100%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%13/07Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%7/08Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%22/08
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.6%Ahead 1/3
5
6
28/1
Tommy Quick silks

Joseph Allen LLC

2yo Colt · 9-5

American Pharoah - Battle Flag (War Front)

J M Sheridan60%J P O'Brien60%
7
2.0

Will improve on his 3¼ lengths seventh of 10 on debut here (9f, 50/1), travelled well/ran green. Still plenty to find with the form principals, however, clearly held in high regard by an excellent stable.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/08
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 100%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%16/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.3%Ahead 1/1
6
5
20/1
Venetian Power silks

Power Thoroughbreds PTY Limited

2yo Colt · 9-5

St Mark's Basilica - Power Zone (Lope De Vega)

Declan McDonogh60%J P O'Brien60%
415
5.0

Finished 6 lengths behind Giant Sequoia here on debut. Borderline useful winner of Killarney maiden subsequently and wasn't seen to best effect (short of room) in Gowran listed race 7 weeks ago. The form pick of the Joseph O'Brien pair and open to improvement. Place claims.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0615/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/077/08 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a7/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 67%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%27/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%15/07Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%7/08
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.5%Ahead 2/3