IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. southwell
  3. race-2

15:45 · Southwell

Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

4f 215yStandardClass 52YO onlyALLWEATHER9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 70
6/5
Romotoso silks

Simon Mitchell

Romotoso

2yo Filly · 8-10

Lope Y Fernandez - Sweet As Honey (Duke Of Marmalade)

Harry Vigors60%−5lbW J Knight80%
322
7.0

Lope Y Fernandez filly who has finished placed on all 3 starts to date, showing form akin to that of her debut when edged out late on at Windsor (6f) 3 weeks ago. Clear of remainder then (Plastic Dream placed third) and she ought to make a bold bid to go one place better.

Class Advantage

1/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0818/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/087/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 4f 215y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 82%1/08Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 88%18/08Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 92%7/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.0%Ahead 1/3
4
2
OR 72
8/1
Shaniko silks

Elwick Stud

Shaniko

2yo Filly · 9-2

Hello Youmzain - Vigogne (Kingman)

William Carson60%Craig Lidster
02442
6.0

Runner-up at Nottingham on second start and matched that level of form on each of her last 2 starts, edged out only late on at Catterick (5f) 4 weeks ago. Can give her running again making tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0511/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 4f 215y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%30/05Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 88%11/06Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%20/06Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 70%7/08Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 86%26/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +47.8%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 68
10/3
Inglewood silks

Bland, Hall, Postill & Camacho

Inglewood

2yo Filly · 8-13

Showcasing - Noya (Shamardal)

Tom Kiely-MarshallMiss J A Camacho
5232
6.0
Hood

Good-bodied filly who matched her previous best in a first-time hood when finishing a length second of 8 in a Lingfield novice (5f) 37 days ago. Rider takes off a handy 3 lb here and she's one of the likelier types.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/058/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/077/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0820/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 25%Dist: 4f 215y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%16/05Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 80%8/07Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 80%7/08Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 86%20/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.0%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 69
9/2
Plastic Dream silks

Jeram Stables Corp

Plastic Dream

2yo Filly · 9-2

Havana Grey - Voicemail (Poet's Voice)

Daniel Muscutt70%C A Dwyer60%
434
6.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Havana Grey filly who has progressed a little by the run in 3 starts to date, racing freely when 3 lengths fourth of 8 in a Yarmouth novice (6f) 10 days ago. Each-way possibilities in an open-looking maiden.

Class Advantage

20/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/087/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/0916/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 4f 215y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%20/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 85%7/09Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%16/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.1%Ahead 2/3
2
5
7/1
Nushga silks

Mr Malih L Al Basti

Nushga

2yo Filly · 9-2

Kodiac - Kissepal (Epaulette)

Warren FentimanR A Fahey80%
No form3.0

Foaled April 20. €58,000 2-y-o, Kodiac filly. Half-sister to Italian 1m-11f winner Treasured Soul and useful US winner up to 8.5f Poolside With Slim. Dam unraced, half-sister to smart 2-y-o 5f/6f winner (stayed 1m) Besharah. Betting can prove a useful guide as to expectations ahead of debut.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish5th of 950% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength74%
7
7
100/1
Ghazalia silks

Mr K Albuainain

Ghazalia

2yo Filly · 8-10

Blue Point - Sea The Magic (Sea The Stars)

Taryn Langley60%−5lbH Kobeissi
45
4.0

Price dropped appreciably each time she passed through the sales ring and she's ran to only a poor level in pair of sprint maiden/novice contests in recent weeks. Best watched for now.

Class Advantage

26/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0815/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 4f 215y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%26/08Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 56%15/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.0%Ahead 2/2
9
6
200/1
Picnic Princess silks

Mr R A Fahey

Picnic Princess

2yo Filly · 8-10

Ardad - Flycatcher (Medicean)

Barry McHugh70%R A Fahey80%
58
2.0

Ardad filly who looked to be learning as the race wore on when fifth on heavy ground at Beverley in August but she couldn't build on that when eighth of 10 in a Wolverhampton novice (6f) 11 days ago. Likely type for nurseries after this.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0815/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 4f 215y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%30/08Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%15/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.5%Ahead 2/2
6
8
28/1
So Sexy Me silks

Adam Kirby Racing Club

So Sexy Me

2yo Filly · 8-13

Harry Angel - Lyrical Approach (New Approach)

Charles BishopAdam Kirby
65
3.0

Harry Angel filly who looks to being brought along gradually, failing to build on her debut effort when a never involved fifth of 6 in a Ffos Las maiden (6f, soft) 5 days ago. Nurseries promise to be more her bag after this.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/0821/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 4f 215y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%9/08Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%21/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.2%Ahead 2/2
8
9
300/1
Love Always silks

Rc Syndicate Xiii

Love Always

2yo Filly · 8-10

Tasleet - Acapella Star (Oratorio)

Libby Swallow0/1−7lbOllie Sangster
0
2.0

Tasleet half-sister to 1¼m-1½m winner Fame N Fortune. Showed only greenness when last of 12 in a Kempton novice (6f) on debut 24 days ago.

Class Advantage

2/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength12%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 4f 215y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%2/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 10-15 · 50%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1