15:18 · Haydock

Christopher Ward Watchmaking Handicap

6f 212yGoing TBCClass 33YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 93
5/1
Storm Free silks

Heart Of The South Racing 139

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Iffraaj - La Napoule (Piccolo)

H Crouch60%1/2J Tate60%
160611
7.0

Improving 4-y-o. Solid form when off the mark for the year at Southwell in late-July. Did really well to pull the race out of the fire when following up in this grade at Sandown last time. Has good prospects of completing a hat-trick off 4 lb higher, even with a less-than-ideal draw.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C3 · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par14/1016/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par9/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par11/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par27/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par29/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%14/10Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 19 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 19 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%9/05Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%27/07Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.0%Ahead 3/4
6
Market Fav2
OR 90
4/1
Mr Noble silks

Mrs Julie Lloyd

3yo Colt · 9-7

Starman - Aurora Eclipse (Kodiac)

S H James70%K R Burke80%
123213
7.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Steadily progressive Starman colt. Found plenty when doubling his tally in likeable fashion at Southwell last month. Only edged out late by a pair played slightly later when ½-length third in a similar event at York since. First-time cheekpieces may well eke out a bit more improvement here.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/112/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par27/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par6/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%20/11Pos 2 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 85%27/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%27/08Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 86%6/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.0%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 92
13/2
Aurora Majesty silks

Mr Salem Rashid Bin Ghadayer

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Night Of Thunder - Anahita (Turtle Bowl)

Pierre-Louis Jamin60%1/2A Watson
200731
6.0Class ↓2

Travelled with zest/added to a fine course record when recording a fourth career success in a 0-90 Epsom handicap last time. Has proven effective away from that track and can't be judged too harshly on his previous runs off marks in the 90s.

Class Advantage

25/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/0814/10 · C3 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par5/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par1/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par16/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par31/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%25/08Pos 12 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 12 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 21%Pos 16 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 16 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%5/06Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 83%16/08Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.1%Ahead 3/4
10
4
OR 82
11/2
Spaceman silks

Five Go Mad In Malton

3yo Colt · 8-13

Starman - Bellissime (No Nay Never)

Billy Garritty60%R A Fahey60%
23131
7.0Going 8.0

Strong form when second on debut at Redcar (good) last winter. On the up winning 2 of 4 starts on all-weather this season, justifying support with more authority than the 1½-length winning margin would imply at Wolverhampton last time. Remains capable of better on just his second turf start.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/1119/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par18/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 2 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 93%4/11Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 60%19/05Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%16/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 82%27/07Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%18/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.5%Ahead 3/4
8
3
OR 86
12/1
Ata Rangi silks

Benjamin Halsall

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Decorated Knight - Samite (Distorted Humor)

Ashley Lewis60%1/3−3lbE Walker
551486
5.0

Ground-versatile type who made a successful reappearance over C&D (good). Never landed a blow when beaten 7 lengths in bid to make it 3-3 at this track last time. Now only 1 lb above his winning mark here in May, with good-value claimer back aboard.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par25/108/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par11/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par25/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 212y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 69%25/10Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%9/05Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 53%25/07Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%5/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.9%Ahead 3/4
11
9
OR 81
8/1
Scutari silks

Mr Malih L Al Basti

3yo Colt · 8-12

Showcasing - Continental Drift (Smart Strike)

Jack Nicholls60%−3lbK R Burke80%
626615
4.0

From a fine Juddmonte family. Showed improved form to get off the mark on all-weather at Deauville (6.5f) on final start for H-F. Devin yard. Shaped encouragingly when beaten 5½ lengths on return/U.K. debut at Chester. Perhaps his excellent yard's second string on jockey bookings, though.

Class Advantage

30/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/0917/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 38%30/09Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 44%2/11Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%8/01Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 64%11/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.9%Ahead 2/4
4
8
OR 91
10/1
Yorkshire silks

Clarendon Thoroughbred Racing

6yo Gelding · 9-11

Harry Angel - Totsiyah (Dalakhani)

D Tudhope60%0/2E Bethell
909230
4.0
Tongue strap

Confirmed the form of his Doncaster near miss when 3¼-length third in a 1m handicap here last month. Since found life tougher in a stronger handicap at York but remains on a potentially handy mark with Danny Tudhope taking over (healthy 26% strike rate for yard this season).

Class Advantage

26/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/079/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par27/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par18/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par8/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par20/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%26/07Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 38%27/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 83%8/08Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 31%20/08
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.6%Ahead 3/4
7
5
OR 90
7/1
Anyasi silks

Mr I Madueke

3yo Colt · 9-7

New Bay - Puy Mary (Intello)

Callum Rodriguez60%R Varian60%
3115
6.0

150,000 gns New Bay colt. Looked a good prospect when winning 6f novices at Yarmouth/Leicester, the form of the latter franked by the second. Didn't repeat that effort when beaten 5½ lengths on handicap debut at Thirsk (6f). Too soon to discount given his pedigree/connections, though is drawn wide.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/0811/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/064/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/0728/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%10/08Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 1 · SP 30/100 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 30/100 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 76%28/08
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.5%Ahead 2/4
9
10
OR 82
14/1
U Sure Do silks

Mr J N Blackburn

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Kodiac - Lake Moon (Tiger Hill)

D Allan60%0/9T D Easterby80%
416987
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Resumed progress with success at Ripon in May. Has dipped below that mark for the first time since and pretty much confirmed his return to form when beaten 5¾ lengths in first-time cheekpieces in Ayr Bronze Cup last week. Versatile regards ground/trip and has each-way claims from a handy draw.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par18/048/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par22/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par6/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par18/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%18/04Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 55%11/08Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%6/09Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 74%18/09
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.3%Ahead 3/4
1
7
OR 94
12/1
Bobby Bennu silks

Middleham Park Racing XLIII

5yo Gelding · 10-0

Phoenix Of Spain - Clenaghcastle Lady (Acclamation)

J Mitchell60%1/3R Varian80%
504200
4.0
Hood

Finished ½-length second off 2 lb higher mark last summer. Had looked at the top of his game prior to underperforming at Glorious Goodwood and lost all chance at the start in York handicap subsequently. Weighted to be thereabouts if handling conditions (only raced on good/good to firm).

Class Advantage

6/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/0918/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par30/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par27/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par29/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par6/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 212y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 79%6/09Pos 15 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 26%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 70%30/05Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 12 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 12 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 42%29/07Pos 15 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 15 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%6/09
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.0%Ahead 2/4
5
11
OR 89
33/1
Great Dream silks

Chalkstone Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Invincible Spirit - Banna (Pivotal)

D Swift0/2S Spencer60%
369170
3.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Hit hard for a comfortable success on final start for William Haggas at Ffos Las (7f, soft) and hasn't landed a blow in a couple of starts for current yard.

Class Advantage

21/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par21/1023/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par16/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par6/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 212y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 83%21/10Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 58%12/06Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%16/08Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%6/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.4%Ahead 4/4