14:10 · Durbanville

Matchem Stakes (Grade 3)

6f 211yGood3YO plusTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 116
4/7
Jet Force silks

Messrs Denis Le Breton & A L Taylor, Mr K & Miss

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Master Of My Fate - Ooh La Var (Var)

Grant Van Niekerk60%5/10Des McLachlan60%
117712
8.0Going 10.0

C&D winner. 4 wins from 8 runs this year. Latest win at Greyville in July. Very good length second of 12 to Buffalo Storm Cody in Gr 1 (7/2) at Greyville (6f, good) 62 days ago. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a28/026/04 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a2/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a26/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 6f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%28/02Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%2/05Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 91%26/07
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.2%Ahead 3/4
1
4
OR 106
14/1
Cafe Culture silks

Messrs M I Fullard & J H Drew & Mrs L Drew

7yo Gelding · 9-10

Var - Put The Kettle On (Dynasty)

Callan Murray70%1/3Lucinda Woodruff70%
081276
5.0
Blinkers

Course winner. Latest win at Kenilworth in April. 33/1, creditable 3¾ lengths sixth of 12 to Buffalo Storm Cody in Gr 1 at Greyville (6f, good) 62 days ago.

Class Advantage

31/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/0128/02 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a26/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength41%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 6f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%31/01Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%27/04Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 93%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 54%4/07Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 55%26/07
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.3%Ahead 4/4
6
2
OR 90
14/1
Gold Giboski silks

Rolf & Gloria Theiler

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Gold Standard - Giboski (Philanthropist)

J V'd Merwe60%Justin Snaith60%
352112
8.0Going 10.0

Course winner. Latest win here in July. 4/1, very good 1¾ lengths second of 5 to Zinovi in listed race at Fairview (8f) 43 days ago. Expected to be bang there.

Class Advantage

4/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/0222/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/08 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a14/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength8%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 6f 211y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%4/02Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%19/05Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%7/07Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%14/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.2%Ahead 3/4
9
3
OR 92
14/1
Chasingtherainbow silks

Messrs P Barrett & D G Curran

5yo Gelding · 9-0

Potala Palace - Lady Of The Fleece (Argonaut)

Kabelo Matsunyane60%1/2Robert Barrett60%
187111
8.0Going 8.0

C&D winner. 3 wins from 4 runs this year. Career best when winning 5-runner minor event at Kenilworth (8f, good to soft, 91/100). Off 97 days.

Class Advantage

10/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/1113/12 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a10/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 6f 211y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%10/11Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%10/01Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%19/05Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%21/06
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.3%Ahead 4/4
5
5
OR 110
10/3
Legal Counsel silks

Messrs Cameron Braun, E A Braun & D C Stonebridge

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Legislate - Imperial Wish (Silvano)

K De Melo80%Justin Snaith60%
254205
5.0Going 8.0

C&D winner. 7/1, 3½ lengths fifth of 8 to Eight On Eighteen in Gr 1 at Greyville (9f, good) 62 days ago. Back down in trip.

Class Advantage

31/01 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/016/04 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a2/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength24%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 6f 211y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 90%31/01Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 63%2/05Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 35%4/07Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 43%26/07
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.5%Ahead 2/4
4
6
OR 90
33/1
Outlaw King silks

D K Racing Syndicate (nom: Mr D M Kannemeyer)

6yo Gelding · 9-10

Rafeef - Way Of Escape (Greys Inn)

Craig Zackey70%2/10Dean Kannemeyer80%
133900
4.0Going 8.0

C&D winner. 7¼ lengths twelfth of 14 to Jet Force in Gr 3 at Greyville (6f, good, 100/1) 84 days ago. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage

13/12 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a13/1210/01 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/02 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a4/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength41%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 6f 211y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%13/12Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 85%28/02Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%23/05Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 15%4/07
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.2%Ahead 2/4
10
8
OR 78
80/1
Magma Flow silks

Mesdames N Botha & Zita De Abreu-cross, Messrs Jac

3yo Colt · 7-12

Erupt - Beau Var (Var)

Dezahn Louw60%0/1−3lbPiet Botha
813656
3.0

Winner at Kenilworth in April. Bit below form sixth of 11 in minor event at this course (5f, good to soft, 66/1) 10 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Easy to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a28/0215/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a31/05 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 6f 211y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%28/02Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%3/05Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%27/06Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%16/09
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.8%Ahead 4/4
3
7
OR 85
16/1
La Pulga silks

Messrs Philip Bamford, A J Brand, Alan Cooper & M

5yo Gelding · 9-0

Pomodoro - Gilded Minaret (Al Mufti)

S Veale70%1/5Candice Bass60%
621167
4.0Going 8.0

2 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win at Kenilworth in May. 4/1, 4¼ lengths seventh of 11 to Magic Verse in Gr 3 at Greyville (10.9f, good) 84 days ago. Significantly back down in trip.

Class Advantage

10/01 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0111/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/05 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a4/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength31%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 6f 211y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 44%10/01Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%6/04Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 44%6/06Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%4/07
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.5%Ahead 2/4