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16:00 · Market Rasen

10 Pound County Racedays Handicap Hurdle

2m 2f 140yGoodClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 100
5/2
Woodstock City silks

Not One But Two

Woodstock City

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Churchill - White Witch (Invincible Spirit)

S Bowen70%O Murphy60%
F43
5.0Class ↓3

A fairly useful Flat winner who signed off for Ian Williams with a good second at Nottingham in July. Also showed promise in a trio of runs over hurdles so very much one to consider on yard/handicap debut.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par2/1030/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/10 · mark par3/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/12 · mark par10/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/01 · mark par8/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 2m 2f 140y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%2/10Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%3/12Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 11%8/06Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%18/07
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.3%Ahead 3/4
7
2
OR 100
3/1
Timely Salute silks

Mr Jeremy Hill

Timely Salute

3yo Gelding · 10-8

Time Test - Salutare (Sadler's Wells)

Freddie Mitchell0/1M Comley
12
6.0Class ↓3
Hood

Maiden on Flat for William Knight. Hood on for first time when successful in good style on yard/hurdles debut in 2m juvenile at Newton Abbot in July. Backed it up with a very good second of 7 in similar event there (17f, good) 19 days ago. Big shout on his handicap debut.

Class Advantage

11/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0428/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par13/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par19/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 2m 2f 140y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 30%11/04Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%13/05Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.2%Ahead 2/4
3
3
OR 94
6/1
Buxted Reel silks

Value Racing - Buxted Reel

Buxted Reel

7yo Gelding · 11-8

Highland Reel - Blue Lightning (Machiavellian)

Stan Sheppard70%1/7T Lacey
368231
7.0Class ↓2

A 3-time Flat winner on the all-weather. Gained a belated first hurdling success in 5-runner handicap at Newton Abbot (17f, good to firm) 30 days ago. Up 6 lb here so more is required.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par9/1020/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 2f 140y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%9/10Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 91%16/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%8/08Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%27/08
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.5%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 96
13/2
Dream Jet silks

Sharing The Dream Syndicate 1

Dream Jet

8yo Gelding · 11-10

Jet Away - Anemone (Arkadian Hero)

Craig Nichol60%3/13B Ellison60%
938424
5.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Disappointing in 3 runs over fences this season. Cheekpieces on for first time when a good hurdling second at Stratford (19f, good) but failed to back it up in retained headgear at Bangor (2½m, good) 18 days ago.

Class Advantage

11/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/12 · mark par11/1219/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 2f 140y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%11/12Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%6/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%25/08Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%8/09
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.5%Ahead 3/4
8
7
OR 78
9/1
Yanka Blue silks

Mr L H Evans

Yanka Blue

5yo Mare · 10-6

Blue Bresil - Bee Yanka (Shirocco)

Callum Pritchard0/2B J Murphy
5227P4
5.0

Remains a maiden after 17 runs but she posted a creditable fourth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (2½m, good) 12 days ago. Not discounted off a 3 lb lower mark.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par13/0530/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 2f 140y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 17%13/05Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%12/07Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%28/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%14/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.2%Ahead 3/4
6
4
OR 81
14/1
Glance At Me silks

I See You Partnership

Glance At Me

8yo Mare · 10-9

Passing Glance - Marys Legend (Midnight Legend)

Shane Quinlan60%0/4Andrew Martin60%
217PP9
4.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Off 26 months (had a breathing operation) before coming in ninth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Stratford (2m, good to soft) last month, considerately handled. Hood left off now but tongue strap is retained. This dual 2m winner in 2024 is not easy to assess.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par10/0414/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par29/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/01 · mark par1/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par12/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 2f 140y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%10/04Pos 1 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 1 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%29/01Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 45%12/05Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%20/08
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.6%Ahead 3/4
5
6
OR 86
14/1
Huit Reflets silks

Ursa Major Racing Ltd & Partner

Huit Reflets

9yo Gelding · 11-0

Coastal Path - Ultra Violette (Voix Du Nord)

Jamie Hamilton70%1/18M Walford60%
259426
4.0
Visor

Dual winner over fences last season. Ran one of his lesser races though when sixth of 8 in handicap chase at Sedgefield (19f, good to firm) 29 days ago. More is needed back in this sphere.

Class Advantage

4/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/02 · mark par4/023/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/03 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 2f 140y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%4/02Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 11%21/06Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%18/07Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 29%28/08
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.8%Ahead 3/4
9
9
OR 74
9/1
Dante's Inferno silks

Hedgehoppers

Dante's Inferno

7yo Gelding · 10-2

Sixties Icon - Bull And Bush (Presenting)

David Noonan0/1T Culhane & S Barclay70%
434476
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Yet to register a victory and he's been well below form in a pair of 2½m handicaps at Bangor this season. Cheekpieces go on for first time now.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par3/0524/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 2m 2f 140y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%3/05Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%5/09Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%16/05Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%4/09
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.7%Ahead 1/4
10
8
OR 74
150/1
Battle Stride silks

Mr R J Armson

Battle Stride

4yo Gelding · 10-2

War Of Will - Promenade Review (Warrior's Reward)

Philip Armson60%0/4R J Armson70%
8405FP
3.0
1st Hood +1Tongue strap

Remains winless and he was pulled up on the back of another breathing operation at Stratford (2m, good to firm) 3 weeks ago. Easily passed over.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par14/053/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par27/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par15/11projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 2m 2f 140y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%14/05Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 30%27/07Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 31%4/11Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%15/11
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.2%Ahead 4/4
4
10
OR 91
20/1
Finjimk silks

Felstead Partnership

Finjimk

4yo Gelding · 11-2

Sumbal - Bebinn (Brian Boru)

Kielan Woods60%Nick Scholfield
FP7880
2.0

Little impact in a bumper/trio of maiden hurdles in Ireland, though needs a precautionary check in the betting having joined an upwardly-mobile yard ahead of this switch to handicaps.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/066/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/0723/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/071/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength10%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 2m 2f 140y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 14%13/06Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 50%6/07Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 42%23/07Pos 17 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 11%1/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.3%Ahead 4/4
11
11
OR 66
150/1
Cosmic Spirit silks

Mr J Stevenson

Cosmic Spirit

4yo Gelding · 10-2

Universal - Theatrical Spirit (Baryshnikov)

Mr J Stevenson0/7−7lbB I Case70%
809079
2.0
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

Poor maiden who has finished well beaten on all his 3 runs this season.

Class Advantage

24/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/1115/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 2f 140y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 22%24/11Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%19/02Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 14%19/08Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 11%10/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.6%Ahead 3/4