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22:01 · Churchill Downs

Race 11 - Allowance Optional Claiming

1m 3fFirm3YO plusTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Top Pick1
OR 99
7/2
Snipsnippitysnip silks

America's Pastime Stables, Llc And Bloom Racing Stable, Llc (jeffrey Bloom)

Snipsnippitysnip

4yo Filly · 8-10

Girvin - She's Not Lazy (Tiznow)

Brian Jr HernandezBrendan Walsh60%
151437
6.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

22/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par22/0326/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/04 · mark par25/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par21/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par28/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 67%Dist: 1m 3f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%22/03Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%25/05Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%19/07Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%28/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.0%Ahead 4/4
3
Market Fav4
OR 100
3/1
Sol D'oro silks

Tec Racing (elliott S Logan)

Sol D'oro

4yo Filly · 8-10

Bolt D'oro - Peru (Motivator)

Jose Ortiz60%0/1Joe Sharp60%
911835
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

4/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/01 · mark par4/015/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above5/03 · mark par28/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par15/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par21/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par19/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 33%Dist: 1m 3f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 27%4/01Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%28/03Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%21/06Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 43%19/07
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.3%Ahead 1/4
1
3
OR 92
8/1
Royal Justice silks

Justice Farm

Royal Justice

4yo Filly · 8-10

Cloud Computing - Golden Pioneer (Pioneerof The Nile)

Fernando Cruz La De60%3/4Aaron West60%
191211
9.0

Class Advantage

5/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/0730/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par21/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/12 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par26/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a26/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 17%Dist: 1m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%5/07Pos 9 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 9 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%16/09Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%29/07Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%26/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.2%Ahead 4/4
9
2
OR 104
8/1
Hereforagoodtime silks

Flying Dutchmen Breeding And Racing Llc

Hereforagoodtime

4yo Filly · 8-10

Justify - First Hour (Speightstown)

Tyler Gaffalione60%0/3Brendan Walsh60%
323753
5.0Going 10.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

31/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/053/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par10/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par15/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par15/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼3
Strength100%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 83%Dist: 1m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%31/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 82%10/09Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%15/05Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%26/06
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.8%Ahead 1/4
8
5
OR 106
6/1
Ceniza Pampa silks

Pedro Simon, Llc

Ceniza Pampa

6yo Mare · 8-10

Hat Ninja - Cute Black Eyes (Wood Be Willing)

Victor CarrascoHoracio De60%
314725
5.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

11/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0814/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par13/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par13/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 100%Dist: 1m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%11/08Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 28%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 88%1/02Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%15/05Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 20%13/06
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.8%Ahead 3/4
6
6
OR 93
12/1
Mambo Queen silks

P Shooter Stable, Paradise Farms Corp And Staudacher, David

Mambo Queen

4yo Filly · 8-10

Mendelssohn - Painter's Muse (Smart Strike)

Luis Saez0/1Michael Maker60%
612214
7.0

Class Advantage

22/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par22/011/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above1/03 · mark par18/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par16/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par26/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 83%Dist: 1m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%22/01Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%18/04Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%26/06Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%29/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.9%Ahead 3/4
7
9
OR 95
15/1
Calamity silks

Tec Racing (elliott S Logan)

Calamity

4yo Filly · 8-10

Gun Runner - Mighty Moon (Malibu Moon)

Ben Curtis0/1Joe Sharp60%
216283
5.0

Class Advantage

15/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par15/0221/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par18/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par11/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 50%Dist: 1m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%15/02Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%18/04Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 71%29/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.8%Ahead 3/4
2
8
OR 98
9/2
Daisy Flyer silks

Calumet Farm

Daisy Flyer

4yo Filly · 8-10

Mshawish - Starstruck (Galileo)

Axel Concepcion0/3George Arnold60%
106838
3.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

26/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/0710/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par11/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par10/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par23/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength98%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 67%Dist: 1m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%26/07Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%11/10Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 71%5/07Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 22%23/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.1%Ahead 1/4
4
7
OR 97
15/1
One Sweet Girl silks

Slam Dunk Racing

One Sweet Girl

3yo Filly · 8-6

Good Samaritan - Another One (Congrats)

Jaime Torres0/2Carlos David60%
314154
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

15/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/03 · mark par15/034/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par2/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par4/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par2/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 50%Dist: 1m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 67%15/03Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%2/05Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%2/08Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%3/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.0%Ahead 2/4
5
10
OR 97
20/1
Reining Flowers silks

4 G Racing Llc

Reining Flowers

4yo Filly · 8-10

Midnight Storm - Mi Fiori (Congrats)

D E SheehyJohn Ortiz
348975
3.0Class ↓5Going 8.0

Class Advantage

26/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/0723/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par10/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par24/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/10 · mark par5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par6/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength95%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 83%Dist: 1m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%26/07Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%10/09Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%5/06Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%6/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.2%Ahead 4/4