12:50 · Newmarket

Princess Royal Stakes (Sponsored By Betway) (Fillies' And Mares' Group 3)

1m 4fGoing TBCClass 13YO plusTURF12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 101
14/1
Brielle silks

Elwick Stud

4yo Filly · 9-5

Almanzor - Craic Agus Spraoi (Intense Focus)

S De Sousa60%D O'Meara60%
140161
7.0Going 10.0
Tongue strap

Versatile sort who made all in a 1½m listed race on the July Course here in the summer but she'll do well to dominate this stronger race in similar fashion.

Class Advantage

18/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/098/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/10 · mark par8/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par31/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par21/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par18/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%18/09Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 15 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 18%8/11Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%21/06Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%18/07
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +49.3%Ahead 4/4
8
2
OR 108
7/2
Prizeland silks

Mrs M E Wates

3yo Filly · 8-12

Territories - Sensationally (Montjeu)

Oisin Murphy80%1/2A M Balding60%
125214
7.0

Career best tackling going softer than good for the first time winning listed Galtres at York (1½m) last month. Creditable 4½ lengths fourth of 7 to Waardah in Park Hill at Doncaster (14.5f, good) 15 days ago. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage

29/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a29/1014/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par9/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par17/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par20/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par10/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/5 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 7/5 | Actual: 100%29/10Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 75%9/05Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%20/08Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%10/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.8%Ahead 3/4
7
Market Fav5
OR 110
5/2
Inis Mor silks

Quantum Leap Racing XI

3yo Filly · 8-12

Galiway - Mellow (Deep Impact)

R L Moore60%D Menuisier60%
401328
5.0Going 8.0

Won a listed race at Goodwood in May. Even better form when placing in the French and Irish Oaks on next 2 outings. Has soft ground as a possible excuse for her below-par effort in the Yorkshire Oaks last time. Leading form claims with sights lowered.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par15/043/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par23/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par14/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par18/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par20/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 73%15/04Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 39%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%23/05Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%18/07Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%20/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.8%Ahead 4/4
9
4
OR 96
13/2
Summerson silks

Chasemore Farm

3yo Filly · 8-12

Kingman - Eartha Kitt (Pivotal)

Ray Dawson60%0/1R Varian60%
2214
6.0Going 9.0
Hood

Kingman filly who opened her account in impressive style in 4-runner maiden at Ffos Las (1½m, good) in July. Blew the start when 8¼ lengths fourth of 13 to Prizeland in listed race (15/2) at York (1½m, soft) 36 days ago. Remains with potential after only 4 starts.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0610/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a10/0728/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a28/0720/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 2 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 86%18/06Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%10/07Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%28/07Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%20/08
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.9%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 105
7/1
Coedana silks

Julie and David R Martin and Dan Hall

4yo Filly · 9-5

King Of Change - Acts Out Loud (Mr Greeley)

Connor Beasley60%1/1E Bethell
132316
8.0Going 9.0

Progressive filly who took a Pontefract listed race over this trip in June. Good 2¼ lengths sixth of 10 to Hotazhell in Group 1 at Munich (1¼m, good) at the end of July. Back up in trip. Likely to go well.

Class Advantage

2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/0926/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par17/10 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par30/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par21/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%2/09Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%17/10Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%30/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%21/06
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.6%Ahead 3/4
5
7
OR 100
8/1
Francophone silks

Miss K Rausing

5yo Mare · 9-5

Study Of Man - Francophilia (Frankel)

James Doyle80%C Johnston
140042
5.0

Won a 1m listed race here last autumn. Creditable 1¼ lengths second of 8 to Romantic Symphony in a listed race on the July Course here (1½m, good to firm) 55 days ago

Class Advantage

26/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/093/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par24/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par17/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par18/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par1/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%26/09Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 18%24/05Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%18/07Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 86%1/08
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.1%Ahead 4/4
2
3
OR 98
66/1
Club Class silks

Helena Springfield Ltd

4yo Filly · 9-5

Frankel - Speedy Boarding (Shamardal)

Marco Ghiani60%0/2J R Fanshawe80%
442220
5.0Going 10.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Useful but has just an all-weather maiden win to her name and it's unlikely a second career success will arrive in this lofty company.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par8/044/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par10/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par5/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par18/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par20/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 50%8/04Pos 4 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 4 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 88%10/06Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 88%18/07Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 8%20/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.9%Ahead 2/4
12
9
OR 92
7/1
Without Prejudice silks

Lord Lloyd Webber

3yo Filly · 8-12

Starman - Hidden Brief (Barathea)

W Buick70%1/1J & T Gosden60%
11
9.0

Half-sister to connections' high-class performer Emily Upjohn. Has looked an exciting prospect when winning fast-ground novice events over 1¼m on the July Course here and at Windsor this summer. This is a jump in class but she has the potential for significant improvement.

Class Advantage

31/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a31/077/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a7/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength6%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%31/07Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.6%Ahead 1/2
6
10
OR 95
66/1
Ryka silks

Akela Thoroughbreds Limited

4yo Filly · 9-5

Night Of Thunder - Tulip Fields (Golden Horn)

Colin Keane60%0/1D O'Meara60%
012168
4.0Going 8.0

Won a listed race at Toulouse (1½m, good) with a bit in hand last October but below par in similar events on both starts this year. Faces a stiffish task here.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/0611/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par1/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/10 · mark par1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par20/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 42%20/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 92%12/09Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 38%1/05Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 42%20/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +40.7%Ahead 3/4
4
11
OR 97
16/1
Frances Ethel silks

Team Valor

6yo Mare · 9-5

Rafeef - Daphne Garland (Fort Wood)

Tom Marquand70%0/1W J Haggas
995244
5.0Going 8.0

Useful 4-time winner in South Africa in 2024. Even better form in defeat in a handful of outings for current yard but latest 3¼ lengths fourth in listed race at Longchamp (1¾m, good) underlines she has a bit to find at this level.

Class Advantage

30/11 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a30/1110/10 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a17/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/11 · mark par3/12 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/12 · mark par8/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par3/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 56%30/11Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%17/11Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%8/08Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 70%3/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +49.9%Ahead 4/4
10
8
OR 95
25/1
Sunshine Star silks

Lady Bamford

3yo Filly · 8-12

Sea The Stars - Dream Peace (Dansili)

Billy Loughnane80%J & T Gosden60%
26124
5.0

Confirmed her debut promise at the second time of asking when winning Lingfield novice in June. Denied a clear run when second on handicap debut next time and acquitted herself as well as could have been expected when fourth in listed race on the July Course (1½m) when last seen in early August.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a10/1024/04 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a20/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par1/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 80%10/10Pos 6 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 6 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 44%24/04Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%20/07Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%1/08
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.1%Ahead 2/4
11
12
OR 95
16/1
Venetia silks

Cayton Park Stud Limited

3yo Filly · 8-12

Lope De Vega - Vivid Diamond (Cape Cross)

Rossa Ryan70%0/2R M Beckett70%
312187
4.0
Cheek pieces

Responded well to first-time cheekpieces when making all in Goodwood listed race (1¼m, soft) in June but her limitations have seemingly been exposed at Group level twice since.

Class Advantage

4/12 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a4/129/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par22/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par7/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par18/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par16/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 75%4/12Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 88%22/05Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%18/06Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%16/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.6%Ahead 2/4