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13:00 · Durbanville

Settlers Trophy (Listed Handicap) (4-Year-Olds and Older)

1m 1f 208yGood4YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market Fav3
OR 84
1/1
Miami Summer silks

Greg & Gina Bortz & Mr Leon Ellman

Miami Summer

4yo Gelding · 9-0

The United States - Pelaya (Silvano)

J V'd Merwe60%3/6Justin Snaith60%
215411
8.0Going 8.0

2 wins from 3 runs this year. Career best when winning 5-runner minor event (5/4) at this course (8f, good) 35 days ago. Up in trip. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage

22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/0929/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 1m 1f 208y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 90%22/09Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 43%6/12Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%14/07Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.6%Ahead 2/4
4
4
OR 90
7/1
Soho Heartthrob silks

Mr D Shawe

Soho Heartthrob

4yo Gelding · 9-1

Gimmethegreenlight - Intothelimelight (Your Song)

Craig Zackey70%2/10Dean Kannemeyer60%
083731
6.0Class ↓3Going 8.0
Blinkers

Career best when winning 8-runner minor event (8/1) at this course (8f, good) 74 days ago. Up in trip.

Class Advantage

1/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/1122/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 1f 208y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%1/11Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%18/03Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%21/06Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%14/07
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +44.8%Ahead 4/4
5
Top Pick1
OR 90
7/2
Prairie Dawn silks

Mr N Jonsson

Prairie Dawn

4yo Gelding · 9-3

The United States - Break Of Dawn (Miesque's Approval)

K De Melo80%Justin Snaith60%
321213
7.0Going 10.0Class ↓3

Course winner. 2 wins from 4 runs this year. 3/1, good ½-length third of 7 to Future Free in listed race at Kenilworth (9.7f, good to soft). Off 125 days. Booking of De Melo a plus.

Class Advantage

10/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/113/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength18%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 1m 1f 208y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 75%10/11Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%21/01Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%25/03Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%24/05
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.7%Ahead 3/4
6
2
OR 79
9/2
Congressman silks

Mrs S Plattner

Congressman

6yo Gelding · 9-3

Querari - Twinkle Toes (Captain Al)

M Yeni70%0/1Willem Nel60%
131234
7.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Course winner. Fourth of 7 in handicap (11/2) at Kenilworth (12.4f, good). Off 9 months. Back down in trip. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage

22/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/031/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/12projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength50%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 1m 1f 208y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%22/03Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 87%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%24/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%8/11Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%6/12
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.8%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 90
12/1
Billy Bowlegs silks

Mr Y Ebrahim & Mrs F Ebrahim, Mr N D Hollis, Nick

Billy Bowlegs

7yo Gelding · 9-6

The United States - Yourethetops (Captain Al)

Kabelo Matsunyane60%0/1Robert Barrett
600763
4.0Class ↓4

Nineteen runs since last win in 2023. 1¾ lengths third of 5 to Miami Summer in minor event at this course (8f, good, 25/2) 35 days ago. Up in trip. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage

15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/0731/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength31%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 1f 208y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%15/07Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 9%27/04Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%14/07Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%22/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.9%Ahead 4/4
1
5
OR 77
25/1
Gentleman Joe silks

Mrs S Plattner

Gentleman Joe

8yo Gelding · 9-0

Gimmethegreenlight - Dumani (Fort Wood)

G WrightWillem Nel60%
217342
6.0Class ↓4

C&D winner. Creditable second of 9 in handicap (9/4) at Fairview (15.7f) 78 days ago. Significantly back down in trip.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/104/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a31/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength46%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 1m 1f 208y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%25/10Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%31/01Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%25/03Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%10/07
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.1%Ahead 1/4
3
7
OR 65
80/1
World First silks

Mr A N Foster & The Hon Mrs G R Foster

World First

4yo Gelding · 9-0

One World - Qing (Dynasty)

S Veale70%2/7Vaughan Marshall60%
681105
4.0

1 win from 3 runs this year. 25/2, 9¾ lengths last of 5 to Miami Summer in minor event at this course (8f, good) 35 days ago. Back up in trip.

Class Advantage

22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/0918/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a31/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength6%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 1m 1f 208y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 55%22/09Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%19/11Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 12 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 12 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 8%31/01Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%22/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.5%Ahead 2/4
7
8
OR 47
150/1
Douglas Dragon silks

Messrs J A Maroun, D Anthony, V J Backos, A A Dorm

Douglas Dragon

6yo Gelding · 9-0

Lancaster Bomber - Cassie O'malley (Jet Master)

Oswald NoachVaughan Marshall70%
213500
3.0Class ↓3Going 8.0
Blinkers

40/1, 22¾ lengths last of 12 to Ahead of The Facts in Gr 3 at Greyville (14.9f, good) 84 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. Easy to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/1116/12 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a1/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a31/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength30%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 1m 1f 208y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%20/11Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 50%1/02Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 9%30/05Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%4/07
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.2%Ahead 0/4