16:55 · Southwell

Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap (Div 2)

4f 215yStandardClass 43YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 83
5/2
Hypnotised silks

Juddmonte

3yo Gelding · 9-9

No Nay Never - Sleep Walk (Oasis Dream)

Daniel Muscutt70%Harry Charlton
417223
8.0

Low-mileage sprinter who's improved since being gelded. Still a work in progress when a neck second at Newbury (5f, good to firm) last month and caught the eye with his finishing effort when third of 16 in handicap (6/1) at Doncaster (5f, good to firm) 13 days ago. Leading player.

Class Advantage

3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/0921/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par15/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par13/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 4f 215y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 70%3/09Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%24/04Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 91%15/08Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 87%13/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.9%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 84
9/2
Moulin Booj silks

The Pals

6yo Gelding · 9-11

Sioux Nation - Enliven (Dansili)

Darragh Keenan2/8George Scott
325215
7.0

C&D winner who gained reward for consistency when scoring at Nottingham last month. Found life tougher under a penalty when fifth of 9 in handicap at Thirsk (5f, good, 9/4) 43 days ago but is 2 lb lower this time.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par1/0621/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par3/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par14/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 4f 215y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%1/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%3/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%11/08Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%14/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.7%Ahead 2/4
1
5
OR 87
8/1
Fidelius silks

Duncan Smith & John Toes

5yo Gelding · 10-0

Harry Angel - Peace Dreamer (Sir Prancealot)

Alex Jary0/2−3lbN Tinkler60%
256026
4.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Won for Robert Cowell at Lingfield in March but went the wrong way for that yard after. Right back on track after a stable switch when a nose second of 5 at Redcar (5f, good to firm) but not in the same form at Catterick last time. Could bounce back with tongue strap back on.

Class Advantage

9/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par9/044/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par22/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par26/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par8/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 4f 215y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%9/04Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%22/05Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%8/08Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 29%26/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.1%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 84
13/2
Michaela's Boy silks

Mr S Geraghty

6yo Gelding · 9-11

Ribchester - Joyce Compton (Tamayuz)

Callum Hutchinson60%R M H Cowell60%
671845
4.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Winner at Yarmouth in June and has run respectably enough on his last 2 starts, most recently when fifth of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (5f, all-weather) 14 days ago. Others still make greater appeal for win purposes, though.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par26/0413/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par18/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par6/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par12/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 4f 215y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 44%26/04Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%18/06Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%11/08Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 56%12/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.9%Ahead 2/4
7
2
OR 80
20/1
Canon's House silks

M McHale, J Munroe, M Guy & D Walshe

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Zoustar - Swiss Dream (Oasis Dream)

Billy Garritty60%3/11M & D Easterby70%
063470
4.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3

Forward-going sort who won 4 times when progressing in handicaps last year. Looked back in form earlier in the summer and switch to patient tactics seemed to backfire when fifteenth of 16 in handicap at Doncaster (5f, good to firm) 13 days ago. Feasibly treated with blinkers reached for,

Class Advantage

22/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par22/0526/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par5/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par21/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par13/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 4f 215y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 10 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%22/05Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%5/07Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%21/08Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 7%13/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.1%Ahead 1/4
9
4
OR 78
12/1
Paradise Walk silks

Valmont & New Chelsea

3yo Filly · 9-4

Starman - Lufricia (Kodiac)

Rhys Clutterbuck60%R M Beckett80%
411408
4.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Won handicap at Nottingham in June then was fourth of 9 at Ascot in July before struggling at Goodwood later that month. Fared no better back on all-weather at Kempton last time and it's possible she's now gone off the boil.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par1/0525/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par28/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 4f 215y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 70%1/05Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%20/06Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 17 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 17 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 16%28/07Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 30%5/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.5%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 79
25/1
True Promise silks

Mr Graham Smith And Partner

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Washington Dc - In Trutina (Firebreak)

Harry Russell0/1Fionn McSharry
015970
3.0Going 8.0

Scored at Wolverhampton (5f) in May but below that form on last 4 starts, so has something to prove at present.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par9/0529/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par20/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 4f 215y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 12 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 35%9/05Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 20%10/07Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%20/08Pos 17 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 20%6/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.3%Ahead 3/4
2
8
OR 85
5/1
Kylian silks

Middleham Park Racing Xii & Mrs G Cowe

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Invincible Spirit - Hikmaa (Roderic O'connor)

Charles Bishop0/1R M H Cowell60%
860456
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓4
Visor

Went with more spark when fourth of 8 at Pontefract in first-time visor in August and has valid excuses for his last 2 efforts, trapped wider than ideal when sixth of 10 in handicap (4/1) at Lingfield (5f, all-weather) 14 days ago. Mark has eased even further.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/065/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par16/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par29/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par12/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength77%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 4f 215y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 46%26/06Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 8%25/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%29/08Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 44%12/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.5%Ahead 1/4
4
9
OR 84
6/1
Right And Exact silks

Mr J N Blackburn

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Oasis Dream - Excellent Sounds (Exceed And Excel)

Zak Wheatley60%1/4D Carroll
228116
6.0

Improved when landing 5f Thirsk handicap in May before following up in 7-runner handicap at Musselburgh (5f) a month later. Ran respectably with the application of blinkers when sixth of 11 in handicap at Chester (5f) 63 days ago and he remains of interest.

Class Advantage

4/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/082/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par12/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par16/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par5/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 4f 215y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%4/08Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 89%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 56%12/04Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%5/06Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%25/07
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.0%Ahead 3/4