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14:05 · Market Rasen

Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Site Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 125yGoodClass 33YO onlyTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 108
9/2
Vietnorm silks

Keatley Racing Owners Group

Vietnorm

3yo Gelding · 11-8

Kessaar - Seafaring (Born To Sea)

Oakley Brown60%−5lbA Keatley
12R
7.0Going 8.0

Decisively completed a cross-code hat-trick when successful on C&D hurdle debut in June. Second at Uttoxeter on next hurdle start before running out in freakish fashion at Cartmel since. Remains open to progress.

Class Advantage

30/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/12 · mark par30/128/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 125y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%30/12Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%30/05Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 5 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 43%6/07Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 88%26/07
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.5%Ahead 2/4
1
Market Fav2
4/6
Moment Of Light silks

The Gredley Family

Moment Of Light

3yo Gelding · 11-8

Sea The Moon - Sated (Manduro)

Harry Skelton80%1/1D Skelton70%
1
6.0
Tongue strap

Fairly useful on the Flat for James Owen and landed short odds on Newton Abbot hurdle debut for Dan Skelton 19 days ago. Did it readily and should prove hard to beat again.

Class Advantage

25/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/0925/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/02 · mark par1/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par7/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 125y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 17%25/09Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%1/04Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 11%23/05Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.7%Ahead 2/4
5
3
10/3
Pass The Buck silks

Olbg Racing (pass The Buck)

Pass The Buck

3yo Gelding · 11-2

Australia - Zofar Zogood (Zoffany)

Paul O'Brien60%Harry Derham60%
No form5.0Going 7.0
Cheek pieces

Ended his time on the Flat with Joseph O'Brien with a wide-margin win in Fairyhouse claimer (1¼m, good) in July. A likely type for juvenile hurdles.

Class Advantage

27/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/105/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par10/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par8/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par8/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 2m 125y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 18%27/10Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 42%19/04Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 77%10/06Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%8/07
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.8%Ahead 2/4
3
4
9/1
Blue To Blue silks

Drew & Ailsa Russell

Blue To Blue

3yo Gelding · 11-2

Blue Point - Hazaraba (Oasis Dream)

B S Hughes60%Ruth Jefferson
No form2.0

Fairly useful on the Flat but largely disappointing since a promising second at Haydock in the spring. Needs a return to hurdling to spark him back to life.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par9/0530/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par27/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par19/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par11/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 125y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 89%9/05Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 14 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 14 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%27/06Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 8%11/08Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%3/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.2%Ahead 2/4
7
5
125/1
Two Steppin silks

Mr A Evans

Two Steppin

3yo Filly · 10-9

Poet's Word - Banogue's Bonus (Shirocco)

Callum PritchardB J Murphy
No form3.0

Poet's Word filly. Dam (h100), runner-up only start over hurdles, half-sister to useful hurdle/very smart chase winner up to 2½m Western Warhorse. Best watched on debut unless the betting strongly hints otherwise.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish5th of 733% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%
4
7
250/1
Lynxman silks

Mr M E Sowersby

Lynxman

3yo Gelding · 11-2

Calyx - La Divina (Sadler's Wells)

Charlie Maggs0/1M E Sowersby
5
2.0

Limited on the Flat and remote fifth on hurdle debut. Outsider.

Class Advantage

28/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/078/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par24/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par23/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 2m 125y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%28/07Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%14/09Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 36%23/04Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 20%31/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.5%Ahead 3/4
6
6
50/1
Steel Fixer silks

Brian Ellison Racing Club

Steel Fixer

3yo Gelding · 11-2

Too Darn Hot - Tebee (Selkirk)

Nathan Moscrop60%0/1B Ellison
P4
2.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Modest form at up to 1½m on the Flat. Well-held last of 4 on completed start over hurdles. Outsider.

Class Advantage

23/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/0929/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par21/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par1/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 2m 125y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 29%23/09Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%21/04Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%12/06Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%22/07
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.4%Ahead 1/4