15:30 · Listowel

Paud, Sarah & Mary Fitzmaurice Memorial Handicap Chase

2m 3fGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap18 runners
Ordered by projected finish
15
3
OR 100
11/2
Stoneyford Lady silks

Declan Landy

7yo Mare · 11-2

Valirann - Presenting D'azy (Presenting)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%1/9H De Bromhead90%
87534F
4.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Made her second chase start a winning one at Thurles last November. In similar heart of late, poised for a third in-frame finish on the bounce when unseating (going as well as any at the time) at Ballinrobe (17f, good) latest. Capable of running a big race if none the worse.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C10 · finish vs mark above20/11 · mark par20/1126/12 · C10 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par24/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par8/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par22/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par28/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%20/11Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 54%24/04Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%22/07Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 84%28/07
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.3%Ahead 3/4
17
2
OR 97
14/1
Potters Pal silks

Kingdom Red Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 10-13

Battle Of Marengo - Union Sacree (Naqoos)

Reserve 2T Cooper60%
0651P3
7.0Going 8.0
1st Hood +1Tongue strap

Made frame in 2 of 3 point starts. Justified support in handicap hurdle at Clonmel (19f, heavy) in March. Resumed progress when 3¼-length third on return here (19f, 20/1) on Wednesday. Lightly-raced 5-y-o is worth noting if turned out quickly for his chasing debut. RESERVE

Class Advantage

26/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/1212/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/01 · mark par26/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par26/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par23/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 18
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 35%26/12Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 44%26/01Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%26/03Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 88%23/09
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +50.3%Ahead 4/4
10
Top Pick1
OR 103
8/1
Gaelic Des Chastys silks

Wise Guys Syndicate/E Munro/Thomas Fitzsimons/Manorplace Limited

10yo Gelding · 11-5

Tiger Groom - Jack Line (Conyers)

Donagh MeylerE McNamara
12322U
9.0

Runner-up in 2024 renewal of this race. Went one better in last year's corresponding event prior to solid run of form over fences. Shapes as if ahead of his mark/had running left when unseating 2 out on return at Killarney. Can make a bold bid to retain his crown.

Class Advantage

21/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/0826/09 · C10 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par18/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par18/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/11 · mark par28/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par29/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par29/01projClass-projected finish: 1st of 18
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%21/08Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 93%18/10Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 85%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 94%28/12Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 93%29/01
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.8%Ahead 4/4
1
5
OR 112
15/2
Cloonainra silks

Pauline Conlon & BK Vets Partnership

7yo Mare · 12-0

Financial Reward - Ashes Summer (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Eoghan Finegan60%−5lbJ C McConnell60%
845072
6.0
Cheek pieces

Hit and miss since justifying support on chasing debut over C&D this time last year. Back to her fairly useful best when runner-up in handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (19f) latest. Could prove well treated if translating that form to fences.

Class Advantage

7/02 · C12 · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par7/0217/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/03 · mark par29/04 · C12 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par14/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par2/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par21/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%7/02Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%29/04Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 63%2/08Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 93%21/08
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.1%Ahead 3/4
4
4
OR 108
15/2
Kings Jet silks

Nice But Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 11-10

Jet Away - Court Gamble (King's Theatre)

Ricky Doyle0/2C W J Farrell60%
2PU023
5.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Surprise winner on Rules debut in maiden hunter at Down Royal last spring. Back on song for fitting of cheekpieces last month, finishing 2¼-length third (Gaelic Des Chastys in fourth when unseating) at Killarney (21f). Respected off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0521/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a2/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par8/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par20/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%5/05Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%21/11Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 41%2/08Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%8/08Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%20/08
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.3%Ahead 2/4
5
6
OR 107
8/1
Golden Temple silks

Spice Of Life Partnership

6yo Gelding · 11-9

Galileo Gold - Miss Sally (Danetime)

Sam Ewing60%2/6N Meade60%
96412P
5.0
Blinkers

Very much a mixed bag since ending a lengthy losing run in handicap chase at Kilbeggan in July. Something to find at the weights, even if on a going day back chasing.

Class Advantage

19/12 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/12 · mark par19/1221/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par12/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par24/07 · C10 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par29/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par4/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 18
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 62%19/12Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 79%12/07Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 94%29/07Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%4/09
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.4%Ahead 3/4
12
8
OR 102
6/1
Tippin And Tappin silks

Storytellers Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 11-4

Getaway - Aughrim Vic (Old Vic)

Harry Cobden70%E Bolger
1118P2
7.0

Seemingly hasn't been the easiest to train. Successful both handicap chase starts at Limerick/Killarney last year. Back on track third time up this season, jumping well/knuckling down to finish 1¾-length second (ahead of Kings Jet) at Killarney. Should be in the mix off 2 lb higher.

Class Advantage

7/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/062/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par18/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par13/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par20/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 18
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 44%7/06Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%22/05Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 59%13/05Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%20/08
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.6%Ahead 4/4
16
7
OR 99
50/1
Toon Town silks

Teergay Syndicate

9yo Gelding · 11-1

Leading Light - Quarry Thyne (Good Thyne)

Reserve 1David O'Sullivan80%
631757
3.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Underlined positive start for current stable when winning 11-runner 2½m handicap chase at Limerick in May. Hasn't fully fired in 3 starts since, however, did respond well to this change of headgear for previous yard. RESERVE

Class Advantage

6/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par6/0411/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par21/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par3/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par20/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par28/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 74%6/04Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%21/05Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 60%20/08Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 54%28/08
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.2%Ahead 2/4
8
12
OR 104
7/1
Nettuno Italia silks

John N Place

6yo Gelding · 11-6

Imperial Monarch - Francis Street (Milan)

Shane Markey0/6−7lbR O'Sullivan
551581
6.0

Staying type who won a handicap hurdle at Punchestown (23f, heavy). Stepped up on chasing debut when landing an extended 21f handicap at Tramore latest, doing well to get up after his saddle slipped approaching the last. Open to further progress, for all he faces another drop back in trip here.

Class Advantage

18/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/11 · mark par18/1112/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/01 · mark par26/01 · C9 · finish vs mark above26/01 · mark par15/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par26/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par19/04 · C10 · finish vs mark above19/04 · mark par19/04projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 64%18/11Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%26/01Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 56%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 46%26/03Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%19/04
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.3%Ahead 2/4
11
9
OR 102
25/1
Inchidaly Copper silks

Owen M O'Flynn

10yo Gelding · 11-4

Doyen - Arctic Aunt (Anshan)

Luke Burke Ott3/11−7lbA Ott60%
3383P0
4.0
Cheek pieces

No form over fences since Tipperary win in May 2025 and looks to have been held back by his temperament in recent starts.

Class Advantage

5/10 · C9 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par5/1018/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par2/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par2/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par16/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par13/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 15th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%5/10Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 87%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%2/11Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 85%16/07Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%13/08
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.5%Ahead 3/4
2
14
OR 110
14/1
Crescent Moon silks

C & L Partnership

6yo Mare · 11-12

Spanish Moon - Ulieska (Lando)

Keith Donoghue60%1/6G P Cromwell100%
PPP550
2.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Hasn't built on the minor promise of her fifth in a mares maiden chase at Killarney in May. Now tried in more severe headgear (fared little better for cheekpieces last time) in bid to capitalise on falling mark.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/108/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a29/11 · C12 · finish vs mark below29/11 · mark par9/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par6/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par28/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 16th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%31/10Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 56%29/11Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%6/06Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 47%28/07
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.0%Ahead 3/4
7
10
OR 104
20/1
Cahirdown Boy silks

Sean Curran

11yo Gelding · 11-6

Yeats - Lucy's Legend (Norwich)

Calum Hogan60%0/3−5lbE McNamara
P84U5F
4.0
Tongue strap

Veteran who won this corresponding event in 2024 (stablemate Gaelic des Chastys second). Looked to have matters in hand when unseating rider at Cork in January. Exited through no fault of his own at Galway 8 weeks ago. Should be competitive if none the worse for that.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C10 · finish vs mark above27/09 · mark par27/0920/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below20/10 · mark par28/11 · C11 · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par26/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par19/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par10/02 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/02 · mark par10/02projClass-projected finish: 12th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%27/09Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%28/11Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%19/10Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 69%10/02
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.4%Ahead 2/4
3
Market Fav18
OR 109
5/1
Drop A Threat silks

Gigginstown House Stud

7yo Gelding · 11-11

Triple Threat - Lola Drop (Kendargent)

Danny Mullins60%0/7W P Mullins70%
40P562
5.0
Tongue strap

Successful sole outing in points. Patchy record under Rules. Made more impact than previously over fences when 4 lengths second of 18 in handicap chase at Galway Festival latest, trading as low as 1.11 in running. No guarantee to be in the same form this time, though.

Class Advantage

19/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par19/0320/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par28/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par2/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 65%19/03Pos 4 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 4 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 73%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 31%15/05Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 74%28/07Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 94%2/08
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.6%Ahead 3/4
13
11
OR 100
14/1
Giant Haystacks silks

Keep It Simple Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 11-2

Elusive Pimpernel - Varnay (Machiavellian)

Danny Gilligan60%1/10R O'Sullivan
543109
4.0
Tongue strap

Won a 0-100 handicap chase in good style at Wexford in early-July. Let down by jumping at Galway before seeming to labour in testing ground at Wexford last time. Danny Gilligan keeps the faith (yard also saddle Nettuno Italia) and he could outrun his odds back under these conditions.

Class Advantage

5/02 · C10 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par5/0222/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par29/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par3/07 · C10 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par28/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par28/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%5/02Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 77%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 78%29/05Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 12 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 12 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 42%28/07Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%28/08
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.9%Ahead 1/4
18
17
OR 96
33/1
Nolans Rocco silks

We'll Have One More Syndicate

7yo Mare · 10-12

Shirocco - Nolans Legacy (Definite Article)

Reserve 3Padraig Butler
4P21P7
5.0

Opened her account in 16-runner handicap chase at Limerick (23f, heavy) back in March, though very nearly threw it away having hung badly left run-in. No impact either start since, latterly when supported at long odds on return. RESERVE

Class Advantage

25/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/1025/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/11 · mark par1/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par19/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par12/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par7/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 18
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%25/10Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 77%1/01Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%12/03Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%7/09
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 10-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.9%Ahead 4/4
6
16
OR 104
12/1
Aurea Fortuna silks

Debbie Breslin & Mrs Paul Shanahan

7yo Gelding · 11-6

Mount Nelson - Battle Over (Sillery)

Daniel King0/8A J Martin
31059P
3.0
Tongue strap

Capitalised on lower chase mark at Punchestown last October. Failed to justify market position 3 subsequent starts over fences and may have been done for the year when well beaten over hurdles in April. Needs a close look in the betting with Daniel King booked for return. Engaged 4.17 here Thursday.

Class Advantage

3/08 · C10 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par3/0820/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par15/10 · C10 · finish vs mark above15/10 · mark par15/11 · C3 · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par29/12 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par4/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par4/04projClass-projected finish: 14th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%3/08Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 87%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%15/10Pos 12 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 12 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%29/12Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%4/04
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 11-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.7%Ahead 1/4
9
13
OR 103
16/1
Cocovic silks

Treaty Retail Investment Holdings Ltd & Denis Murphy Bloodstock Limited

6yo Gelding · 11-5

Ocovango - Another Time (Old Vic)

Sean Flanagan60%0/5E McNamara
2935U7
3.0

Runner-up 3 times in maidens last year. Best effort this season when third on handicap/seasonal debut at Limerick in May. Looked in need of a greater stamina test when beaten 19 lengths at Kilbeggan (19f) and switch to fences could help (point winner earlier in his career).

Class Advantage

17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/0720/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par21/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par28/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par2/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par3/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 13th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 93%17/07Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 83%Pos 9 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 9 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 11%21/09Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 69%2/07Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 54%3/09
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 15-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.4%Ahead 1/4
14
15
OR 100
25/1
Grange Walk silks

E Gleeson

11yo Gelding · 11-2

Thewayyouare - A Woman In Love (Muhtarram)

J J Slevin60%J P Ryan60%
436B77
3.0
Blinkers

Veteran who has gone backwards since his fair third in a veterans event on reappearance in May. Hard to be confident he's in the form to capitalise on falling mark here.

Class Advantage

12/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par12/0316/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par25/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par12/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par8/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par4/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 17th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%12/03Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%25/05Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 14%8/08Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%4/09
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.8%Ahead 2/4