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18:00 · Southwell

3rd And 10th Oktoberfest Race Nights Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m 3f 24yStandardClass 33YO plusALLWEATHER13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
14
Top Pick1
5/2
Kashooda silks

Miss K Rausing

Kashooda

3yo Filly · 9-2

Study Of Man - Kandahari (Archipenko)

Callum Hutchinson60%A M Balding60%
32
7.0Going 7.0

Promising third of 13 in maiden at Lingfield (1¼m, all-weather) on debut in June and unlucky to bump into a useful Gosden-trained runner at Kempton a month later. Could be similar story here.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a4/068/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a8/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 83%4/06Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 91%8/07
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.0%Ahead 1/2
9
Market Fav2
13/8
Pyramid silks

Juddmonte

Pyramid

3yo Colt · 9-7

Kingman - Tempera (Dansili)

Benoit D L Sayette60%J & T Gosden60%
2
6.0

Kingman colt brother to 3 winners, including useful pair Samburu and Fingerpaint. Didn't look the finished article and made a really promising start when splitting next-time-out winners when second at Wolverhampton in July (9.5f). Lots more to come and he'll be hard to beat.

Class Advantage

30/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/07
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m 3f 24y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 86%30/07
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.1%Ahead 0/1
1
4
10/1
Liam Mera Kai silks

Mr Jerry Hinds & Mr Ashley Head

Liam Mera Kai

5yo Gelding · 9-13

Bande - Lonely Star (Sleeping Car)

Harry Vigors60%0/1−5lbW Greatrex
53
6.0

Fair bumper winner/maiden hurdler. Looked to have a future in this sphere when 5½ lengths fifth of 10 on Flat debut at Nottingham (1¼m, 40/1) in May and he matched that form when third in a 1½m course novice 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

2/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/1125/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par15/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/01 · mark par19/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a3/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a3/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%2/11Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 88%14/12Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 82%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 56%19/05Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.1%Ahead 2/4
12
3
10/1
Church Wedding silks

Merriebelle Irish Farm Limited

Church Wedding

3yo Filly · 9-2

St Mark's Basilica - Isabel De Urbina (Lope De Vega)

Rhys Clutterbuck60%R M Beckett80%
37
3.0

Made appeal on paper and, having been well backed, showed plenty to work on when third of 13 in a 1m maiden at Kempton on debut in January. Off 7 months after and merely matched that form over 11f at same venue, albeit not given a hard time. Capable of better.

Class Advantage

14/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/015/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a5/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 83%14/01Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%5/08
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.0%Ahead 0/2
4
9
33/1
Chilli King silks

Mrs Claire Bonner

Chilli King

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Golden Horn - Royal Warranty (Sir Percy)

Charles BishopMiss E C Lavelle
76
2.0

Looks a work-in-progress after 2 starts.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/0430/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/04projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 14%5/04Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%30/04
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.2%Ahead 1/2
11
6
33/1
Train In Vain silks

Westgate Racing

Train In Vain

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Masar - Tongue Twista (Stimulation)

Darragh KeenanJessica Macey
5
2.0

Masar gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including 2-y-o 6f winner Majestic Wave and 8.6f winner Cuban Harry. Dam 2-y-o 5.3f winner. Limited short-term promise on Redcar debut over 1m 17 days ago.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 3f 24y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 50%9/09
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +50.0%Ahead 1/1
8
7
10/1
Pepperazzi silks

Valmont

Pepperazzi

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Ghaiyyath - Zimaniya (Iffraaj)

Jack Callan60%Oliver Cole
No form3.0

€80,000 yearling, first foal, dam, French winner up to 10.7f (2-y-o 7f winner), closely related to smart French winner up to 1m Zabiari out of useful 1m (including at 2 yrs) winner in France Zaridiya. Newcomer for respected connections.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish7th of 1350% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength47%
2
5
16/1
Masterly silks

Miss D Finkler, A Herd, Dr P Holloway

Masterly

5yo Gelding · 9-13

Mastercraftsman - Lady Darshaan (High Chaparral)

Billy Garritty60%C Johnston
34
4.0

Displayed ability when third on debut at Yarmouth back in 2023. Clearly had share of issue given his second start was 4 weeks ago and he was beaten a long way out.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/0931/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 3f 24y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%19/09Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%31/08
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -28.8%Ahead 0/2
6
10
50/1
Emerald Spirit silks

Mr D Kearns

Emerald Spirit

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Sergei Prokofiev - Its In The Air (Whipper)

Jonny Peate60%D M Loughnane
7
2.0

€31,000 yearling, 1,000 gns 2-y-o. Sergei Prokofiev gelding. Half-brother to useful 1¼m-2m winner In The Breeze and 9f winner In The Field. Blew the start and merely hinted at ability starting out over 1m at Kempton.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m 3f 24y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 40%9/09
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +40.0%Ahead 1/1
10
8
33/1
Roxy Power silks

Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum

Roxy Power

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Justify - Roxy Gap (Indian Charlie)

Mason PaetelS & E Crisford80%
5
2.0
1st Blinkers +3

$350,000 Justify gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including smart US 1m/9f winner Cafe Americano. Too green to show true worth on debut at Kempton 3 weeks ago (11f). Connections quickly reach for blinkers and he should do better.

Class Advantage

2/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a2/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%2/09
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.8%Ahead 0/1
3
12
50/1
Crystal Jet silks

Mrs Nicola Bulgin

Crystal Jet

4yo Filly · 9-8

Crystal Ocean - Jetfire (American Post)

J GarrittyT Bulgin
86
4.0

Bumper winner who looked a longer-term project on Flat debut at Goodwood in June and same sentiments apply to latest run at this venue 3 weeks ago minus cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

11/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/116/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a19/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a3/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 71%11/11Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%4/05Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%19/07Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 17%3/09
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.9%Ahead 3/4
7
11
66/1
O'driscoll silks

Fomo & M J McStay

O'driscoll

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Ghaiyyath - A Day At The Races (Gutaifan)

Dylan Hogan60%James Horton
8
2.0

20,000 gns yearling, Ghaiyyath gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to high-class winner up to 1½m Best Solution and very smart 2-y-o 7f-1¼m winner (stayed 1½m) El Bodegon. Offered little on Lingfield debut over 1m 16 days ago.

Class Advantage

10/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m 3f 24y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%10/09
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.3%Ahead 0/1
13
13
66/1
Indian Mary silks

Quantum Leap Racing Ii & Partners

Indian Mary

3yo Filly · 9-2

The Grey Gatsby - Indian Cat (One Cool Cat)

Laura Pearson0/2K P De Foy
85
2.0

Cost €100,000 as a yearling but hasn't beaten a rival on either start to date.

Class Advantage

30/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/0712/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a12/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m 3f 24y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%30/07Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%12/09
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/2