6

Henry Brulard

11yo Gelding · 10-3

Auteuil · Prix Duc D'albuquerque - Challenge De L'obstacle Equinaxy Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 191y

#5

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Auteuil 27/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 14527/09C?C0 @ Auteuil 18/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 136C0 @ Auteuil 15/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 2m5f82y Sft 14515/11C?C0 @ Auteuil 29/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 155C0 @ Auteuil 01/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m5f191y Hvy 1461/03C?C0 @ Auteuil 28/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 1512 @ Auteuil 25/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 2m5f191y Hvy 15225/042C0 @ Auteuil 17/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 155C0 @ Auteuil 30/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 13630/05C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30Auteuil?9th9th0
2026-05-17Auteuil?5th5th0
2026-04-25Auteuil210th10th0
2026-03-28Auteuil?4th4th0
2026-03-01Auteuil?8th8th0
2026-02-14Auteuil?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0929/1125/0430/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength38%

Delivery trend -6.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20256th33/10%71%+0.71
18/10/20255th22/10%69%+0.69
15/11/20257th16/116%54%+0.38
29/11/20257th11/142%57%+0.15
01/03/20268th25/10%42%+0.42
28/03/20264th9/153%73%+0.20
25/04/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
17/05/20265th16/116%76%+0.61
30/05/20269th16/116%0%-0.16