4
Hokusai Vallis
9yo Gelding · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix Duc D'albuquerque - Challenge De L'obstacle Equinaxy Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 191y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-02 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Auteuil | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Craon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-07 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-15 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-23 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength88%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 06/11/2024 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 16/11/2024 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 23/03/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 15/04/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 58% | +0.06 |
| 07/05/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 07/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 23/09/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |