2

Surinfil

6yo Gelding · 11-1

Auteuil · Prix Duc D'albuquerque - Challenge De L'obstacle Equinaxy Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 191y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Compiegne 11/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f195y Ver 16111/03C8C8 @ Auteuil 13/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m2f86y Ver 158C0 @ Auteuil 19/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f86y Ver 15719/04C?C0 @ Auteuil 06/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 1424 @ Clairefontaine 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 16324/064C0 @ Clairefontaine 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 156C0 @ Clairefontaine 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 2m3f85y Ver 15527/07C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 152C0 @ Moulins 18/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m2f195y Ver 15318/09C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Moulins?7th7th0
2026-08-26Clairefontaine?5th5th0
2026-07-27Clairefontaine?2nd2nd0
2026-07-15Clairefontaine?5th5th0
2026-06-24Clairefontaine45th5th0
2026-05-17Auteuil?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/036/0527/0718/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%

Delivery trend -10.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/03/20265th25/10%64%+0.64
13/04/20264th7/163%63%-0.01
19/04/20264th12/137%73%+0.36
06/05/20264th16/116%73%+0.57
24/06/20265th9/153%20%-0.33
15/07/20265th9/153%50%-0.03
27/07/20262nd9/153%92%+0.40
26/08/20265th6/168%43%-0.26
18/09/20267th4/179%25%-0.54