1

La Turbie

3yo Filly · 10-10

Auteuil · Prix Mid Dancer Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

90%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Moulins 09/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Hvy 1319/05C52 @ Auteuil 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f87y Ver 14526/052C0 @ Compiegne 09/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 1479/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Compiegne?1st1st0
2026-05-26Auteuil25th5th0
2026-05-09Moulins?1st4th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0526/059/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
26/05/20265th6/168%64%-0.05
09/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18