12

Note De Coeur

3yo Filly · 10-5

Auteuil · Prix Mid Dancer Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Auteuil 02/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y Hvy 145 · HIGHER CLASS2/0413 @ Auteuil 06/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y Hvy 1476/053projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-06Auteuil36th7th−1
2026-04-02Auteuil14th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/046/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -48.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/04/20264th6/168%57%-0.11
06/05/20266th9/488%29%-0.60