11
The Fist
3yo Gelding · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Mid Dancer Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#12
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 26/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 18/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 13/04/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 42% | -0.41 |
| 07/05/2026 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 9% | -0.67 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 44% | -0.45 |
| 09/09/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |