12
Chant De Garde
6yo Gelding · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Grandlieu Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-01-03 | Pau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-24 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-24 | Nantes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Craon | ? | 7th | 11th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 11-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -13.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2024 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |