10
Galant Chaba
10yo Gelding · 10-10
Auteuil · Prix Grandlieu Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#1
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
24%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -5.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | 4 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-07-31 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2024-07-25 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2023-12-17 | Pau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2022-04-23 | Nantes | BHA128 | 9th | 23th | −12 |
| 2020-09-12 | Cholet | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 11-16 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2020 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/06/2020 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 29/06/2020 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 12/09/2020 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 57% | -0.37 |
| 23/04/2022 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 17/12/2023 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 25/07/2024 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 60% | +0.05 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |