6
Kel Story
6yo Gelding · 10-12
Auteuil · Prix Grandlieu Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#13
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-17 | Clairefontaine | ? | 7th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-07-22 | Clairefontaine | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dieppe | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-06 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 04/01/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 01/07/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.13 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 17/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |