7
Lou Fast
7yo Gelding · 10-12
Auteuil · Prix Grandlieu Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#16
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 11th | 15th | −3 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Auteuil | 2 | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 08/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 29/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 01/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 07/03/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 17/05/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 08/09/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |