15
Mossy Walsh
6yo Mare · 10-4
Auteuil · Prix Grandlieu Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#15
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 13-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 24/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 77% | +0.03 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 02/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 21/04/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 17/05/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.07 |