9
Naruto
7yo Gelding · 10-10
Auteuil · Prix Grandlieu Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#11
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Clairefontaine | ? | 13th | 17th | −3 |
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Auteuil | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 19/06/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.18 |
| 16/07/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 11/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/09/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 27/09/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 31% | -0.17 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 17/08/2026 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |