4
Robin Hill
6yo Gelding · 10-13
Auteuil · Prix Grandlieu Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
49%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | −3 | ||
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-04-10 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-23 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-02-16 | Angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength82%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/11/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 16/02/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 23/03/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 10/04/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 05/05/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 85% | +0.79 |