8
Shazam
6yo Gelding · 10-11
Auteuil · Prix Grandlieu Listed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Clairefontaine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | 4 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 25/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 29/12/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 63% | -0.28 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 17/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |