6
Guadalquivir
4yo Colt · 10-5
Auteuil · Prix De Maisons-laffitte Hurdle - Grade 3 · 2m 1f 196y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Auteuil | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Auteuil | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Auteuil | ? | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 16/11/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |