1
Leopard Du Berlais
4yo Gelding · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix De Maisons-laffitte Hurdle - Grade 3 · 2m 1f 196y
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.4
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Auteuil | 1 | +0 | ||
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | +0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | +0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -27.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 16/11/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 8/15 | 97% | 67% | -0.31 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |