3
Leader Conti
5yo Gelding · 10-12
Auteuil · Prix Meli Melo Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Auteuil | 3 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-02 | Auteuil | 1 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Auteuil | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-13 | Pau | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-24 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 8/11 | 96% | 70% | -0.26 |
| 24/12/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 13/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 82% | -0.10 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |