8
Lord Brett
5yo Gelding · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Meli Melo Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength3%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 2
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-17 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-03 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-03 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-01-23 | Pau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -14.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 15/02/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 08/03/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 03/04/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 03/05/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |