4
Marie Des Obeaux
4yo Filly · 10-10
Auteuil · Prix Pierre Et Bernard Cypres Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Moulins | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-08-10 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 09/05/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 42% | -0.35 |