5

Merveille Allen

4yo Filly · 10-10

Auteuil · Prix Pierre Et Bernard Cypres Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength39%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.1
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Lion D'angers 10/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 14010/08C5C1 @ Craon 07/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 133 · HIGHER CLASS7/09C1C0 @ Saint-Cloud 09/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f94y Ver 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/10C?C1 @ Lyon-Parilly 30/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 133 · HIGHER CLASS30/10C1C0 @ Fontainebleau 22/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f203y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS22/11C?2 @ Auteuil 09/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 1439/0423 @ Auteuil 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 14325/043projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-25Auteuil37th8th−1
2026-04-09Auteuil26th6th0
2025-11-22Fontainebleau?4th2nd+2
2025-10-30Lyon-Parilly?3rd1st+1
2025-10-09Saint-Cloud?5th3rd+2
2025-09-07Craon?3rd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0830/1025/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength79%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
07/09/20253rd2/189%60%-0.29
09/10/20255th12/137%50%+0.13
30/10/20253rd11/142%75%+0.33
22/11/20254th16/116%57%+0.41
09/04/20266th8/158%58%+0.00
25/04/20267th7/163%65%+0.02