
Merveille Allen
4yo Filly · 10-10
Auteuil · Prix Pierre Et Bernard Cypres Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Auteuil | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Fontainebleau | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-30 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Craon | ? | 3rd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 09/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 58% | +0.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 65% | +0.02 |