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Miss Daphne

4yo Filly · 10-12

Auteuil · Prix Pierre Et Bernard Cypres Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/11

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Vichy 15/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS15/08C1C1 @ Lyon-Parilly 30/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 133 · HIGHER CLASS30/10C15 @ Fontainebleau 26/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 2m1f142y Sft 14326/0253 @ Auteuil 22/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 14522/033projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-22Auteuil32nd3rd−1
2026-02-26Fontainebleau52nd6th−3
2025-10-30Lyon-Parilly?5th3rd+1
2025-08-15Vichy?6th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0830/1026/0222/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +14.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20256th9/276%29%-0.48
30/10/20255th50/10%50%+0.50
26/02/20262nd10/147%93%+0.45
22/03/20262nd2/189%90%+0.01