9
Molly De Gascogne
4yo Filly · 10-5
Auteuil · Prix Pierre Et Bernard Cypres Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 12th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Nantes | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 22/07/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 8% | -0.34 |