1
For Friendship
6yo Gelding · 11-4
Auteuil · Prix Villez Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.30 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 94% | +0.15 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 47% | -0.14 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.40 |