4
Furioso
9yo Gelding · 11-2
Auteuil · Prix Villez Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#10
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-14 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Pau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Pau | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 14-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 47% | -0.24 |
| 28/07/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 03/12/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 11/12/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 28/01/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 54% | -0.22 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |