12
Kaiser De Sivola
6yo Gelding · 10-10
Auteuil · Prix Villez Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 25/03/2024 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 17/04/2024 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 06/04/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.07 |
| 26/05/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.20 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 27/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |