7
Malbec Du Mathan
9yo Gelding · 11-1
Auteuil · Prix Villez Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Compiegne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2022-11-12 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2021 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 53% | -0.18 |
| 21/10/2021 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/09/2022 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.33 |
| 20/10/2022 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 76% | -0.02 |
| 12/11/2022 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 15/02/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 06/04/2026 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.38 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 91% | +0.04 |