10
Neon Has
6yo Gelding · 10-12
Auteuil · Prix Villez Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 45% | +0.03 |
| 12/10/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 65% | +0.28 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.45 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 94% | +0.57 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 92% | +0.03 |
| 08/09/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |